NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	6.6 [506]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +22.5%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	3.1 [718]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -20.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.04	0.01	18	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.01	9	63%	0.18	0	0.00	9	78%	0.03
Andray Blatche	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	0.06	18	42%	-0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
Gilbert Arenas	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.10	0.03	20	43%	-0.07	4	-0.13	9	100%	0.07

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	8	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.03	11	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.04	15	69%	0.17	5	-0.13	2	50%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	10	70%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.02	7	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	34.0	17.4	25.6	2.6	35.0	142.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +56.7%

WAS -8.2%

ORL +11.8%

WAS -10.1%

WAS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.5	15.6	106.5	116.5	104.4
season	15.1	16.4		107.4	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	16.9	17.3	13.6	15.9
ORL	14.4	17.4	15.5	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	26	25	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.08	8	-16	24	15.4	16.1	-0.70	15.4	15.6	-0.15
Calvin Booth	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	17.8	15.6	2.24	18.3	15.1	3.23
Brendan Haywood	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	1	-10	16.0	15.8	0.23	15.9	15.1	0.81
Jared Jeffries	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	16.2	15.5	0.66	15.6	15.5	0.15
Antonio Daniels	57	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-6	4	15.3	16.9	-1.60	15.9	15.0	0.91
Caron Butler	83	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-3	-2	16.0	14.9	1.15	15.0	20.3	-5.34
Antawn Jamison	84	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	0	-8	16.0	14.7	1.29	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Gilbert Arenas	86	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	1	-10	15.7	18.5	-2.76	15.2	21.2	-5.98

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-3	14	15.0	17.4	-2.38	15.6	16.9	-1.27
DeShawn Stevenson	63	61	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	1	6	15.3	16.2	-0.96	16.5	14.7	1.83
Tony Battie	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-4	16	14.9	16.9	-2.03	15.4	17.1	-1.75
Dwight Howard	51	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	0	8	15.2	16.0	-0.80	16.9	14.6	2.32
Jameer Nelson	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	-1	10	15.2	16.4	-1.22	16.0	15.7	0.38
Steve Francis	59	61	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	8	-8	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.2	17.4	-2.21
Pat Garrity	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	4	0	16.5	14.6	1.88	15.5	16.3	-0.85
Stacey Augmon	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	8	-8	16.0	15.5	0.50	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Kelvin Cato	20	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	13	-18	17.3	15.0	2.31	17.5	15.5	2.08
Travis Diener	10	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	14	-20	20.0	15.0	5.00	15.3	16.0	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.6%
ATL 77, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%