NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	8.5 [184]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +17.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	2.5 [841]		LVP	Tierre Brown (CLE): -27.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	21	57%	0.29	3	-0.19	4	100%	0.04
Jumaine Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	60%	0.09	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	4	77%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.00	5	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	12	34%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Darius Miles	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	6	23%	-0.20	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.04	10	55%	0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	11	61%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	16	58%	0.13	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.04
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	0.00	18	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	20	45%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	22.6	15.6	27.2	2.7	35.3	128.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +24.0%

CLE -10.8%

CLE -7.0%

MIL +42.9%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	15.5	94.9	96.0	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		94.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	14.9		106.5	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	11.6	16.9	15.5	15.7	14.9
MIL	16.1	12.6	13.9	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	75	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-13	24	13.6	18.4	-4.79	14.7	13.3	1.37
Darius Miles	73	75	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-6	10	13.8	18.0	-4.15	15.0	12.3	2.69
DeSagana Diop	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	1	-4	20.6	14.3	6.26	9.5	14.9	-5.42
Carlos Boozer	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	0	-2	14.4	15.8	-1.48	15.2	12.9	2.27
Chris Mihm	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	7	-16	18.9	13.6	5.29	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Milt Palacio	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-2	2	14.5	16.3	-1.73	14.5	13.9	0.53
Ricky Davis	92	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-2	2	14.5	21.0	-6.53	14.7	8.2	6.50
Tierre Brown	31	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	6	-14	16.5	14.1	2.41	12.5	15.1	-2.61
Jumaine Jones	46	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	1	-4	16.4	13.5	2.83	13.7	15.0	-1.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	68	69	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.54	7	-5	12	15.3	12.3	2.99	14.4	15.9	-1.41
Toni Kukoc	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-7	16	13.8	15.3	-1.54	16.2	12.6	3.65
Sam Cassell	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	-1	4	14.4	14.2	0.21	15.5	13.0	2.49
Tim Thomas	40	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-7	16	12.9	15.4	-2.51	17.4	13.4	3.99
Michael Redd	70	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	3	-4	13.8	15.7	-1.91	15.1	14.4	0.64
Gary Payton	83	82	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	8	-14	14.9	11.5	3.43	13.8	20.1	-6.28
Ervin Johnson	28	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	3	-4	11.9	15.4	-3.46	15.3	14.7	0.60
Marcus Haislip	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	16.1	13.6	2.51	12.7	15.9	-3.11
Joel Przybilla	43	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	9	-16	15.3	13.7	1.56	13.3	16.1	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.84,0.84,1	93.3%
DET 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	92.3%
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	91.9%