NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	3.9 [999]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +7.9%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.0 [1052]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -11.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.05	11	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	19	49%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	9	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Juaquin Hawkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	6	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	23	64%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	17	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	27.6	16.3	24.0	1.7	23.7	117.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.4%

NJN +8.2%

NJN +9.0%

NJN +3.1%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.5	94.5	122.2	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		101.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		96.1	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	16.0	19.1	16.3	17.0
NJN	14.6	16.0	14.2	14.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	27	26	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.19	-6	-18	12	17.7	16.8	0.90	15.2	14.6	0.58
Terence Morris	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	11.8	17.7	-5.93	16.2	14.6	1.60
James Posey	65	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-15	6	16.1	19.3	-3.18	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Glen Rice	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-12	0	18.9	15.5	3.36	15.0	14.6	0.40
Kelvin Cato	27	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.31	-18	-6	-12	18.2	16.5	1.64	13.6	15.2	-1.63
Juaquin Hawkins	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-17	10	14.4	18.2	-3.79	14.3	15.0	-0.63
Yao Ming	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-13	2	17.8	15.8	1.98	15.4	13.8	1.56
Moochie Norris	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-13	2	16.4	17.9	-1.51	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Steve Francis	84	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	5	-34	17.9	6.6	11.33	14.8	14.4	0.44
Eddie Griffin	64	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	-6	-12	16.8	17.7	-0.90	14.6	15.2	-0.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	85	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-4	32	14.9	12.4	2.52	17.6	5.5	12.06
Jason Kidd	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.28	25	-1	26	14.7	15.1	-0.36	17.9	10.7	7.17
Brian Scalabrine	58	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	11	2	14.6	15.1	-0.49	17.4	16.4	0.94
Rodney Rogers	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	8	8	14.8	14.8	-0.01	17.9	16.7	1.16
Anthony Johnson	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	6	12	14.7	14.9	-0.22	16.8	17.3	-0.51
Kerry Kittles	48	49	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	14	-4	15.0	14.5	0.52	17.3	16.7	0.68
Aaron Williams	27	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	15	-6	15.8	14.3	1.48	16.5	17.3	-0.80
Jason Collins	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	21	-18	14.7	14.9	-0.23	17.0	17.1	-0.06
Dikembe Mutombo	30	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	21	-18	14.0	15.2	-1.22	14.8	18.3	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
IND 90, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 111, LAC 132	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%