NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	5.0 [798]		MVP	Ira Newble (ATL): +11.4%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	3.1 [652]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -30.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	19	61%	0.08	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	21	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	7	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.02	9	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	9	68%	0.04	6	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.19	-0.10	0.01	13	34%	-0.11	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.6	15.7	27.4	2.4	27.5	128.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +8.8%

LAL +14.8%

ATL -2.4%

LAL +27.5%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	13.7	15.5	112.5	94.8	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		105.0	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	18.4	12.7	18.5	16.3
ATL	12.5	14.3	13.4	14.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	-5	27	16.2	16.6	-0.43	14.4	11.1	3.32
Shaquille O'Neal	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	5	7	15.0	18.9	-3.92	13.8	13.5	0.30
Derek Fisher	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	5	7	14.9	19.6	-4.75	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Robert Horry	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	4	9	16.1	16.5	-0.35	13.7	13.7	0.00
Rick Fox	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	3	11	14.9	18.0	-3.10	14.4	12.9	1.45
Jannero Pargo	22	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	7	3	18.5	15.6	2.88	14.9	13.4	1.52
Slava Medvedenko	22	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	7	3	18.5	15.6	2.88	14.9	13.4	1.52
Devean George	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	11	-5	17.9	15.3	2.58	12.8	14.3	-1.45
Mark Madsen	34	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	10	-3	16.1	16.4	-0.30	13.7	13.7	0.04
Brian Shaw	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	19.2	16.1	3.08	13.5	13.7	-0.23
Kareem Rush	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	25	-33	17.6	15.7	1.87	11.1	14.8	-3.69
Samaki Walker	13	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.14	-10	27	-37	21.2	15.5	5.64	13.3	13.8	-0.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.5	13.7	-0.23	19.2	16.1	3.08
Dan Dickau	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.7	13.6	1.12	18.4	16.1	2.39
Darvin Ham	25	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-18	19	12.0	14.3	-2.27	16.9	16.1	0.76
Jermaine Jackson	6	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-18	19	14.8	13.6	1.19	20.2	15.9	4.33
Alan Henderson	39	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-13	9	14.3	13.3	1.04	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Theo Ratliff	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-4	-9	13.6	13.9	-0.40	16.7	15.7	0.95
Ira Newble	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-9	1	13.1	14.6	-1.51	17.1	15.0	2.08
Dion Glover	48	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-1	-15	14.9	12.6	2.27	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-1	-15	14.0	12.6	1.47	16.1	17.0	-0.91
Jason Terry	86	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-1	-15	13.5	15.3	-1.77	15.8	19.3	-3.49
Glenn Robinson	76	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	1	-19	13.5	14.4	-0.92	15.9	17.9	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 114, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
MIA 117, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
ATL 108, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%