NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	4.8 [848]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +5.1%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.5 [754]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -13.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	23	56%	-0.02	2	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	30	44%	-0.07	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	0.03	1	0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.05	25	47%	0.05	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	55%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	32.0	17.7	32.7	3.0	41.2	156.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.2%

LAL -0.9%

SAS +8.3%

SAS +17.4%

LAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.5	93.7	102.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.7		105.0	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		96.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	16.0	18.3	12.1	15.6
SAS	14.5	16.0	12.5	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	21	24	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-19	29	16.3	15.4	0.91	16.3	13.9	2.39
Brian Shaw	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-14	19	14.2	15.8	-1.55	18.2	14.2	4.05
Slava Medvedenko	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	0.0	15.6	-15.62	5.0	14.6	-9.64
Samaki Walker	13	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	18.6	15.1	3.47	13.3	14.8	-1.43
Devean George	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.29	9	-18	27	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.9	14.0	0.90
Jannero Pargo	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	18.4	15.4	3.01	13.3	14.7	-1.33
Robert Horry	59	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-11	13	14.7	17.1	-2.31	14.1	15.3	-1.24
Mark Madsen	36	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	2	-13	17.1	14.7	2.31	15.3	14.1	1.24
Rick Fox	42	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	9	-27	16.6	14.9	1.70	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Shaquille O'Neal	82	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	5	-19	15.1	18.6	-3.47	14.9	12.8	2.08
Derek Fisher	72	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	7	-23	15.0	17.6	-2.62	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Kobe Bryant	80	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	10	-29	15.9	14.2	1.69	13.9	17.9	-4.02

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	85	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.06	20	-11	31	14.6	13.9	0.71	15.5	16.2	-0.63
Bruce Bowen	70	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-4	17	14.0	16.1	-2.16	16.4	13.6	2.89
Tony Parker	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.07	15	-6	21	14.3	15.4	-1.07	15.3	16.8	-1.56
Malik Rose	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-4	17	13.5	16.0	-2.46	15.2	16.3	-1.16
Stephen Jackson	71	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	4	1	14.9	13.4	1.54	15.7	15.3	0.42
Manu Ginobili	52	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	11	-13	14.6	14.5	0.12	14.4	17.0	-2.66
Speedy Claxton	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	16.5	14.3	2.26	15.9	15.6	0.33
Steve Kerr	10	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	14.1	14.6	-0.49	18.0	15.4	2.63
Kevin Willis	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	13	-17	12.6	14.8	-2.17	17.8	15.4	2.44
David Robinson	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	15	-21	17.0	13.3	3.69	16.4	15.2	1.23
Danny Ferry	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	12	-15	14.6	14.5	0.03	13.4	15.8	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SAC 82, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 93, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%