NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	72		Excitement	1.8 [1268]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +5.9%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.2 [1012]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	33%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	10	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	14	41%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	0.00	-0.08	13	21%	-0.07	2	-0.01	2	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	0.06	19	47%	-0.09	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	57%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	9	56%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.07	12	60%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	3.0	27.2	18.6	25.2	2.8	28.0	134.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.6%

BOS -0.2%

IND +6.9%

IND +8.2%

IND +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.5	84.7	117.2	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.2	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	16.7	18.1	15.5	16.4
IND	14.9	17.6	18.9	17.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-29	28	16.9	16.4	0.51	19.7	16.8	2.90
Tony Battie	39	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-36	42	15.9	16.8	-0.90	18.3	16.0	2.31
Walter McCarty	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.29	-16	-14	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.14	18.4	16.2	2.20
Bimbo Coles	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-16	2	15.1	17.4	-2.32	17.2	16.9	0.30
Grant Long	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.20	-15	-15	0	17.3	15.8	1.47	17.2	17.0	0.13
Eric Williams	46	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-22	14	16.1	16.8	-0.66	17.4	16.6	0.78
J.R. Bremer	64	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.35	-22	-8	-14	16.7	15.4	1.37	16.9	17.6	-0.75
Mark Blount	33	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.42	-27	-3	-24	16.6	16.3	0.27	15.0	18.2	-3.16
Paul Pierce	57	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	-8	-14	16.7	15.8	0.93	16.7	17.8	-1.11
Antoine Walker	71	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.41	-31	1	-32	16.8	14.5	2.29	16.4	20.8	-4.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.30	23	7	16	16.9	17.5	-0.67	16.5	16.1	0.46
Jamaal Tinsley	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.16	18	12	6	16.8	17.5	-0.68	17.0	15.7	1.29
Jermaine O'Neal	55	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.11	16	14	2	16.8	17.6	-0.83	16.8	15.7	1.11
Al Harrington	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.14	16	14	2	16.9	17.3	-0.37	16.8	15.8	0.92
Reggie Miller	44	42	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	16	-2	16.1	18.1	-2.02	17.5	15.3	2.15
Jonathan Bender	35	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	16	-2	18.3	16.2	2.04	15.4	17.1	-1.67
Jeff Foster	12	12	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	20	-10	18.3	16.9	1.47	17.5	16.2	1.27
Ron Mercer	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.32	16	14	2	16.9	17.2	-0.26	15.7	17.0	-1.22
Austin Croshere	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.22	12	18	-6	17.5	16.8	0.68	15.7	17.0	-1.29
Erick Strickland	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.22	12	18	-6	17.5	16.8	0.68	15.7	17.0	-1.29
Primoz Brezec	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	31	-32	18.2	16.9	1.37	14.5	16.7	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 69, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
DEN 87, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
BOS 96, SAC 126	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%