NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	5.5 [699]		MVP	Kevin Ollie (SEA): +14.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	100		Comeback	1.4 [718]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -17.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	78%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	4	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	13	56%	0.05	5	-0.12	15	73%	0.03
Yao Ming	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.08	-0.05	0.04	16	44%	-0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	8	68%	0.14	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	20	54%	0.10	3	-0.01	6	50%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	18	57%	0.09	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	1.7	29.2	17.7	29.8	1.7	38.3	149.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.6%

HOU -1.1%

SEA +7.4%

SEA +13.0%

HOU -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.5	101.1	109.9	101.6
season	16.3	16.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.0	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	16.5	15.0	14.1	15.1
SEA	17.1	16.2	13.8	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-9	12	13.5	15.7	-2.25	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Kelvin Cato	36	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-12	18	15.0	15.2	-0.15	17.3	15.5	1.77
Maurice Taylor	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	16.0	14.7	1.26	17.1	15.8	1.37
Eddie Griffin	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-3	0	15.2	15.1	0.07	15.5	16.9	-1.45
Moochie Norris	31	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	3	-12	16.5	14.5	2.00	17.7	15.4	2.35
Yao Ming	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	6	-18	15.2	15.0	0.15	15.5	17.3	-1.77
James Posey	78	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.8	18.1	-2.36
Steve Francis	86	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-3	0	14.7	20.1	-5.43	16.1	17.1	-1.02
Cuttino Mobley	78	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.2	14.8	0.38	16.3	15.8	0.48

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	80	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-2	10	16.0	17.7	-1.74	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Jerome James	48	49	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	15.4	17.0	-1.61	15.4	14.8	0.53
Kevin Ollie	50	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	7	-8	15.9	16.6	-0.71	14.4	16.0	-1.56
Vladimir Radmanovic	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	16.4	16.0	0.42	14.7	15.6	-0.94
Ray Allen	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	1	4	16.0	16.8	-0.77	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Brent Barry	55	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	9	-12	17.0	14.9	2.07	15.2	15.1	0.11
Reggie Evans	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	-1	8	16.4	16.0	0.41	15.8	14.6	1.23
Predrag Drobnjak	41	42	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	4	-2	16.6	15.9	0.75	15.3	15.0	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 73, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
SEA 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,1	93.9%
NYK 85, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%