NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	78		Excitement	3.4 [1102]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +15.6%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	2.5 [565]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -15.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	2	12%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Jermaine Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	3	12%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	19	61%	0.00	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	10	20%	-0.06	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	10	46%	-0.03	6	-0.12	8	87%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	18	72%	0.18	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	29.7	14.8	25.7	1.8	24.5	124.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.4%

ATL -3.3%

CHI +2.6%

CHI +12.2%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.5	82.1	107.3	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		99.5	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.0	16.1	19.0	15.7	15.5
CHI	14.7	13.9	13.7	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-25	25	15.6	15.5	0.15	17.9	14.1	3.76
Darvin Ham	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-23	21	15.0	15.7	-0.67	18.2	13.5	4.64
Alan Henderson	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-21	17	12.2	16.5	-4.28	16.1	14.2	1.87
Ira Newble	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	-12	-1	15.8	15.1	0.73	14.9	14.2	0.72
Jermaine Jackson	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-14	3	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.0	14.5	0.50
Jason Terry	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-7	-11	15.5	15.5	0.02	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Dion Glover	44	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-11	-3	15.6	15.4	0.22	14.5	14.8	-0.34
Theo Ratliff	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-11	-3	15.1	16.3	-1.20	13.9	16.0	-2.06
Glenn Robinson	75	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	-4	-17	15.5	15.4	0.08	13.6	18.3	-4.72
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	3	-31	16.8	11.4	5.34	14.4	15.2	-0.81

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	9	7	13.8	17.2	-3.47	15.4	15.8	-0.35
Tyson Chandler	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	12	1	13.9	16.4	-2.48	15.7	15.2	0.49
Rick Brunson	36	34	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	7	11	14.6	14.6	-0.01	14.9	15.9	-0.94
Donyell Marshall	56	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	6	13	14.4	14.9	-0.48	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Jamal Crawford	53	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	11	3	14.2	15.2	-0.98	15.1	16.0	-0.84
Trenton Hassell	34	35	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.20	16	9	7	14.1	15.0	-0.86	17.2	14.5	2.67
Jay Williams	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.13	11	14	-3	15.2	14.2	0.98	16.0	15.1	0.84
Corie Blount	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	19	-13	14.6	14.7	-0.04	17.0	14.8	2.19
Lonny Baxter	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	17	-9	15.7	14.2	1.52	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Roger Mason Jr.	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.23	9	16	-7	17.2	13.8	3.47	15.8	15.4	0.35
Dalibor Bagaric	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	18.6	14.2	4.31	11.9	15.9	-3.98
Eddy Curry	26	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	34	-43	15.2	14.4	0.75	14.1	16.1	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.64,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CLE 85, MIA 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NYK 96, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1	95.1%