inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 81 Excitement2.2 [1243] MVPJonathan Bender (IND): +6.1%
Indiana Pacers 101 Comeback1.2 [588] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -10.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.090.000.06881%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Scott Padgett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.061137%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01456%0.0000.001100%0.00
John Amaechi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02117%-0.0300.00425%-0.02
Mark Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00540%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
John Stockton-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01629%-0.041-0.022100%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.000.06868%-0.023-0.04683%-0.01
Calbert Cheaney-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02520%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Karl Malone-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.000.051648%-0.091-0.021275%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.061276%0.061-0.00560%-0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.041366%0.075-0.033100%0.01
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.02-0.00-0.021058%0.061-0.02450%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.04679%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.03671%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07320%0.0000.00450%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.05520%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00950%-0.021-0.021080%-0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.13-0.00-0.071326%-0.052-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.31.827.216.431.010.529.3141.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +38.8%
IND +8.2%
IND +0.6%
IND +2.3%
IND +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAINDNBAUTAINDNBA
this game16.016.215.591.0112.2101.6
season16.315.4103.1102.2
opponent15.515.399.2101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.915.017.614.716.0
IND16.613.816.718.016.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Amaechi1011-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-181615.316.1-0.7817.516.01.55
Carlos Arroyo1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-202015.216.1-0.8916.616.10.45
Andrei Kirilenko4848-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-171415.816.2-0.4717.314.92.41
Tony Massenburg2222-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-14815.116.3-1.1315.516.4-0.85
Greg Ostertag4040-0.20-0.300.09-0.12-3-171415.816.1-0.3416.416.00.42
Calbert Cheaney4242-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-11215.516.5-1.0216.316.10.27
John Stockton4445-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-13616.115.90.2515.117.3-2.20
Mark Jackson3231-0.25-0.25-0.010.13-13-7-616.115.90.2117.615.42.17
DeShawn Stevenson2830-0.28-0.22-0.060.16-15-5-1016.315.90.4314.417.1-2.73
Scott Padgett4950-0.30-0.20-0.090.20-17-3-1416.115.80.3416.016.4-0.42
Karl Malone5757-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-12-8-416.415.21.2516.216.2-0.04
Matt Harpring6060-0.32-0.18-0.130.07-13-7-616.415.11.2616.116.4-0.27

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine O'Neal50520.51-0.010.53-0.3429-93814.917.8-2.9916.814.82.02
Erick Strickland81800.440.060.370.03146816.513.62.9315.917.0-1.12
Al Harrington58570.320.180.15-0.2921-12214.818.6-3.7817.513.34.23
Ron Mercer51510.290.210.08-0.09137615.616.9-1.3415.017.3-2.32
Austin Croshere52520.250.250.010.02812-416.216.10.1014.617.9-3.30
Reggie Miller54530.250.25-0.000.01812-416.715.51.1916.415.41.05
Jonathan Bender56550.230.27-0.040.08515-1017.114.72.4316.315.50.74
Jeff Foster40380.200.30-0.090.11317-1417.615.12.4915.516.4-0.90
Primoz Brezec870.000.50-0.500.03-121-2218.116.02.1213.416.2-2.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 105, DEN 1250.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
WAS 87, UTA 1290.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
GSW 77, UTA 910.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%