NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	9.9 [73]		MVP	Wesley Person (MEM): +15.8%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	4.8 [169]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -46.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.14	0.01	13	50%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Batiste	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.12,0	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	18	51%	0.13	5	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.11	-0.05	17	42%	-0.09	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Shane Battier	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	12	42%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	8	75%	0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	15	47%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	2	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.46	-0.46	-0.12	-0.34	-0.00	26	33%	-0.26	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	30.4	16.8	24.1	2.5	25.2	122.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +8.0%

MEM +8.5%

MEM +16.7%

MEM +14.4%

MEM +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	90.6	88.5	101.6
season	15.3	15.6		101.8	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		104.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	13.5	15.2	17.6	15.4
NYK	14.7	12.7	15.4	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	69	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	16.2	13.4	2.73	15.1	13.3	1.82
Jason Williams	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	15.2	16.0	-0.84	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Wesley Person	72	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-3	8	15.2	15.9	-0.68	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Mike Miller	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-13	28	14.6	17.6	-3.04	14.1	15.7	-1.53
Pau Gasol	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	2	-2	15.1	16.6	-1.55	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Shane Battier	43	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	1	0	15.5	15.3	0.15	14.6	14.6	0.05
Earl Watson	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	15.9	15.2	0.68	15.8	14.2	1.58
Brevin Knight	23	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	5	-8	16.0	15.2	0.84	15.6	14.3	1.32
Mike Batiste	32	31	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.02	-16	18	-34	16.3	15.0	1.31	15.6	14.1	1.51

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	27	26	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.13	2	-4	6	13.7	15.0	-1.29	15.8	15.3	0.50
Michael Doleac	15	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-4	6	13.9	14.7	-0.78	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Clar. Weatherspoon	63	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-4	6	14.5	14.7	-0.16	14.2	17.6	-3.47
Howard Eisley	62	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.38	11	-13	24	15.2	13.4	1.78	16.9	12.9	4.01
Othella Harrington	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-5	8	14.4	14.9	-0.50	16.5	13.6	2.96
Charlie Ward	34	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	11	-24	13.4	15.2	-1.78	12.9	16.9	-4.01
Kurt Thomas	53	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	5	-12	15.9	13.0	2.89	16.2	14.4	1.78
Allan Houston	80	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.53	-3	1	-4	14.4	15.6	-1.16	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Latrell Sprewell	88	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	5	-12	14.6	15.0	-0.44	15.1	19.2	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.47,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.44,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	91.1%
TOR 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.32,0.08,0	90.8%
PHI 98, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.26,0	90.6%