NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	10.7 [43]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (ATL): +39.2%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	4.5 [220]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -44.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	7	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.25
Rodney Rogers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Webber	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.1,-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	12	60%	0.06	3	-0.22	6	100%	0.07
Allen Iverson	-0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.44	-0.17	-0.28	-0.01	31	44%	-0.32	5	-0.13	13	100%	0.12

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.39	0.39	0.01	0.38	0.00	8	60%	0.41	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Josh Childress	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	55%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.05
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	8	24%	-0.11	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.19	-0.19	0.01	-0.18	0.02	9	65%	0.06	3	-0.26	2	100%	0.04
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	9	45%	-0.04	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-0.03	14	56%	-0.13	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.16	0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.25	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	34.1	15.4	25.0	2.5	43.5	147.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -65.1%

PHI +69.0%

ATL -19.6%

PHI +44.3%

PHI +21.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	15.5	101.0	99.0	104.0
season	13.9	15.6		101.1	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.8		108.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	14.8	14.7	11.4	13.4
ATL	13.5	17.2	16.0	18.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	58	61	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-5	11	13.1	13.9	-0.82	16.5	15.4	1.19
Aaron McKie	59	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.56	0	1	-1	12.3	15.2	-2.97	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Allen Iverson	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	13.4	0.0	13.43	16.1	0.0	16.09
Chris Webber	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	14.1	12.4	1.66	15.1	17.6	-2.57
Marc Jackson	47	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	2	-3	12.6	14.2	-1.62	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Rodney Rogers	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-3	7	12.1	14.4	-2.31	17.0	15.4	1.67
John Salmons	17	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	-1	3	15.1	13.1	1.97	17.6	15.8	1.88
Samuel Dalembert	48	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	1	-1	14.6	12.3	2.28	16.6	15.6	1.01
Andre Iguodala	60	57	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.10	-6	7	-13	14.4	11.8	2.62	15.6	16.8	-1.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	16	16	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-7	13	13.5	16.6	-3.10	14.4	13.2	1.20
Josh Smith	57	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	1	-3	15.8	16.4	-0.60	13.7	13.1	0.58
Predrag Drobnjak	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-2	3	17.2	15.6	1.63	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Tom Gugliotta	58	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-8	15	15.9	16.3	-0.44	13.0	14.0	-1.02
Tyronn Lue	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	5	-11	16.8	15.1	1.63	12.9	14.2	-1.28
Obinna Ekezie	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	1	-3	15.6	17.2	-1.63	13.5	13.3	0.21
Boris Diaw	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-1	1	16.3	15.8	0.50	13.3	13.6	-0.25
Al Harrington	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	3	-7	16.7	13.4	3.38	14.0	11.1	2.92
Josh Childress	70	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	4	-9	15.6	17.4	-1.82	13.2	13.9	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.22,0.39,0.28,0.11,0.01,0	91.8%
POR 86, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.16,0	91.6%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	91.6%