NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	5.5 [701]		MVP	Mike James (MIA): +11.4%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	1.8 [630]		LVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): -14.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	6	77%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	7	65%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.02	0.05	17	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	27	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Juan Dixon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	7	25%	-0.04	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.03	9	45%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	72%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	0.01	0.01	20	42%	-0.05	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	33.6	18.7	28.1	2.5	27.6	136.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +46.5%

MIA +0.6%

WAS -2.2%

WAS -0.4%

MIA +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	18.1	16.4	15.5	100.0	110.7	101.6
season	16.5	16.3		100.9	94.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	20.0	17.2	16.2	19.4	18.1
MIA	13.7	17.0	17.3	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Goldwire	38	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-13	16	16.6	19.4	-2.79	15.5	17.1	-1.53
Bobby Simmons	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	9.7	18.6	-8.82	13.0	16.6	-3.57
Kwame Brown	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-13	16	18.0	18.2	-0.17	18.6	16.0	2.60
Michael Jordan	66	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-11	12	18.3	17.6	0.70	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Charles Oakley	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-12	14	18.5	17.8	0.66	16.6	16.1	0.47
Brendan Haywood	35	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-2	-6	18.6	17.8	0.84	14.5	17.8	-3.29
Christian Laettner	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	1	-12	17.7	19.4	-1.65	16.9	14.8	2.15
Juan Dixon	49	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	1	-12	18.6	17.4	1.19	16.7	15.9	0.75
Jerry Stackhouse	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	3	-16	18.2	17.8	0.39	16.7	14.0	2.68
Bryon Russell	37	37	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.09	-18	8	-26	19.5	17.0	2.47	16.8	16.0	0.76

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	35	34	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-4	18	17.6	15.5	2.08	18.1	18.1	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	23	21	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-2	14	17.5	15.9	1.60	17.8	18.3	-0.45
Caron Butler	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	1	8	16.4	15.9	0.53	18.3	16.6	1.72
Brian Grant	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	3	4	16.5	15.5	0.93	18.3	16.8	1.53
Rasual Butler	57	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	8	-6	17.0	15.0	1.95	17.0	20.3	-3.38
Travis Best	65	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	15.8	18.2	-2.40	17.9	19.0	-1.11
Eddie Jones	35	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	3	4	15.2	17.2	-1.93	20.1	16.5	3.59
Sean Marks	8	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	9	-8	15.9	16.4	-0.53	16.6	18.3	-1.72
Malik Allen	48	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.05	-4	14	-18	15.5	17.4	-1.90	18.1	18.1	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.74,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.0%
ORL 89, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
LAC 104, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.1%