NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	6.3 [526]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +14.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.0 [295]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -19.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.02	15	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	22	52%	-0.07	3	-0.12	16	81%	0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	13	81%	0.25	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.05
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	16	49%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	26.3	14.4	28.0	1.6	37.2	133.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.7%

NJN -0.6%

CLE +10.3%

NJN -18.9%

CLE +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.5	93.8	100.0	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		101.1	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.9		104.3	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	14.6	15.3	15.7	15.1
CLE	14.5	14.8	15.3	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	2	-7	14.7	15.2	-0.47	14.1	15.8	-1.72
Anthony Johnson	19	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-2	1	13.6	15.5	-1.90	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Brian Scalabrine	63	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	16.3	12.8	3.58	14.9	16.3	-1.44
Rodney Rogers	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-7	11	13.5	16.3	-2.81	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Kerry Kittles	47	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-1	-1	16.1	14.1	1.96	16.0	14.7	1.32
Lucious Harris	64	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-5	7	14.0	17.4	-3.41	15.5	15.1	0.36
Jason Kidd	86	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	15.2	14.4	0.79	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Aaron Williams	70	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	15.6	13.8	1.83	16.2	13.3	2.88
Richard Jefferson	65	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	6	-15	15.3	14.8	0.49	15.5	15.0	0.54

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	66	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.25	15	-12	27	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.7	13.8	1.95
Jumaine Jones	81	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	15.7	13.3	2.35	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Milt Palacio	69	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-6	15	15.4	15.3	0.11	15.4	14.2	1.28
Ricky Davis	80	83	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	2	-1	15.6	14.0	1.60	14.3	20.3	-6.02
Dajuan Wagner	30	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	9	-15	15.8	15.2	0.63	13.1	16.0	-2.87
Darius Miles	39	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-3	9	13.8	16.5	-2.72	16.7	13.9	2.76
DeSagana Diop	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.5	-0.94	15.2	15.1	0.07
Chris Mihm	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	15.4	15.4	-0.01	12.9	16.0	-3.08
Carlos Boozer	44	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	10	-17	15.6	15.1	0.49	15.4	14.8	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.84,1	94.0%
CHA 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.83,1	93.8%
UTA 95, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.96,1	93.5%