NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	103		Excitement	7.1 [439]		MVP	Cory Alexander (CHA): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.0 [1270]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -41.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Alexander	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	5	106%	0.18	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Primoz Brezec	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	18	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	69%	0.07	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	41%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	8	59%	-0.03	3	-0.08	11	73%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	5	8%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.01	8	38%	-0.10	2	-0.31	5	40%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.02	31	63%	0.23	5	-0.11	14	93%	0.11
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	79%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	13	33%	-0.25	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.2	14.8	30.2	2.6	35.2	141.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -4.7%

PHI +5.1%

PHI +10.1%

PHI +28.9%

PHI +10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.5	102.0	108.2	104.0
season	15.5	13.9		99.0	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	16.5	13.8	14.9	14.8
PHI	13.6	11.2	14.5	17.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-8	13	15.7	14.5	1.15	12.0	14.8	-2.78
Malik Allen	5	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	11.2	15.0	-3.78	12.2	14.2	-1.97
Brevin Knight	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-3	3	15.0	14.7	0.28	14.5	13.9	0.62
Melvin Ely	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	2	-7	14.0	15.3	-1.29	13.4	14.5	-1.10
Keith Bogans	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	5	-13	14.2	15.7	-1.54	13.2	15.6	-2.36
Gerald Wallace	76	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-2	1	15.3	13.3	2.01	15.1	11.2	3.83
Cory Alexander	58	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	0	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.28	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Matt Carroll	38	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-4	5	14.7	14.8	-0.13	15.4	13.4	1.96
Emeka Okafor	78	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.45	2	-5	7	15.2	13.3	1.87	14.5	12.8	1.71
Primoz Brezec	87	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.1	14.4	-0.33

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-4	11	14.2	14.1	0.10	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Allen Iverson	98	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.1	0.0	14.14	14.8	0.0	14.79
Marc Jackson	61	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	0	3	14.1	14.2	-0.03	15.3	13.9	1.44
Samuel Dalembert	75	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	1	1	14.4	13.2	1.21	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Aaron McKie	60	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	-1	5	14.1	14.2	-0.07	15.3	14.0	1.33
Rodney Rogers	33	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	4	-5	15.2	13.6	1.57	15.9	14.2	1.75
Kyle Korver	48	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	6	-9	14.5	13.8	0.78	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Josh Davis	27	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	1	1	12.1	14.9	-2.80	13.3	15.4	-2.03
John Salmons	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	11.4	14.4	-2.92	12.0	15.0	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, VAN 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.95,1	94.9%
SAC 97, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.73,1	94.7%
SEA 86, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,1	94.0%