NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	7.2 [359]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +16.9%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	3.8 [236]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -30.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	10	68%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.15
Jake Voskuhl	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Casey Jacobsen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.10	-0.04	0.04	21	39%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	12	25%	-0.21	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	15	52%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,0.02	0.02	-0.11	0.12	-0.02	16	48%	0.12	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.19
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	12	75%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	28.0	15.8	28.4	2.4	41.5	142.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +9.6%

CHI +23.9%

CHI +18.9%

PHX -5.6%

CHI +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.5	91.6	96.8	101.6
season	15.0	15.0		101.1	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.3	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	14.3	17.2	13.5	14.9
CHI	15.0	17.8	12.6	17.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	11	11	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.02	7	-10	17	14.1	15.0	-0.91	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Dan Langhi	29	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.32	10	-13	23	12.7	15.9	-3.17	17.5	15.0	2.49
Randy Brown	15	13	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	16.8	14.5	2.26	18.6	15.3	3.33
Bo Outlaw	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-2	1	14.9	14.9	-0.06	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Casey Jacobsen	29	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-3	3	15.6	14.6	1.00	16.5	15.4	1.08
Tom Gugliotta	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	1	-5	17.1	13.2	3.92	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-4	5	14.3	15.9	-1.60	16.5	14.5	2.02
Jake Voskuhl	28	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	5	-13	16.3	14.3	1.97	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Stephon Marbury	80	80	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.5	16.8	-2.26	15.3	18.6	-3.33
Shawn Marion	82	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.0	-0.12	15.8	15.5	0.29
Joe Johnson	74	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	7	-17	14.4	16.8	-2.40	14.8	19.2	-4.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	62	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-2	7	16.6	14.0	2.63	15.3	14.1	1.21
Jalen Rose	88	89	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	15.5	20.8	-5.33	15.0	12.7	2.38
Jamal Crawford	49	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-1	5	16.5	14.9	1.64	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Tyson Chandler	63	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-4	11	15.5	16.4	-0.91	15.2	14.2	0.99
Trenton Hassell	65	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-3	9	14.3	19.1	-4.85	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Fred Hoiberg	35	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.39	-9	12	-21	18.3	14.2	4.15	13.6	15.7	-2.13
Jay Williams	44	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	14.9	16.5	-1.64	15.3	14.5	0.79
Eddy Curry	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	5	-7	14.1	16.8	-2.67	13.8	15.5	-1.78
Lonny Baxter	24	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	17.9	15.0	2.92	16.7	14.4	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 114, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.91,1	93.4%
MIL 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1	93.3%
NOH 93, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%