inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement4.2 [959] MVPJason Richardson (GSW): +9.5%
Golden State Warriors 115 Comeback1.6 [927] LVPDion Glover (ATL): -12.5%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dan Dickau0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02775%0.0410.002100%0.00
Jason Terry0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.010.071468%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Ira Newble0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01856%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jermaine Jackson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.0320%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.03529%-0.0300.00450%-0.02
Darvin Ham-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.0330%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041652%0.004-0.061292%0.03
Theo Ratliff-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.02822%-0.081-0.002100%0.01
Glenn Robinson-0.110,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.002439%-0.091-0.026100%0.01
Dion Glover-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.00-0.0158%-0.082-0.04250%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.00-0.061559%0.102-0.00475%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.031553%0.072-0.04475%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.01-0.08744%0.032-0.01450%-0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01469%0.0200.005100%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.00865%0.042-0.021100%0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.021355%0.0100.005100%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.000.02564%0.0000.004100%0.01
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.041357%0.012-0.044100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02529%-0.062-0.03450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.30.629.315.629.33.427.6128.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +36.7%
ATL -0.3%
GSW +4.1%
GSW +7.5%
GSW +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLGSWNBAATLGSWNBA
this game15.013.415.592.1112.7101.6
season15.114.699.5105.3
opponent15.115.7106.8103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.617.214.515.915.0
GSW14.011.612.116.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alan Henderson36340.00-0.500.500.06-2-201813.815.6-1.8511.814.2-2.43
Jermaine Jackson1516-0.00-0.500.490.06-2-201815.614.90.7416.412.93.51
Brandon Williams1515-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-171216.914.62.2314.413.21.16
Darvin Ham4242-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-171213.316.2-2.8813.813.10.64
Dan Dickau3234-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-8-616.714.22.5115.312.52.78
Dion Glover2726-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-13414.815.0-0.2615.012.92.13
Ira Newble5253-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-7-15814.715.3-0.5711.515.5-4.08
Jason Terry7675-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-10-214.416.8-2.3812.815.2-2.41
Glenn Robinson7477-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-5-1215.014.90.0613.413.5-0.09
Theo Ratliff6061-0.42-0.08-0.330.08-17-5-1216.013.42.6613.313.6-0.25
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7677-0.530.03-0.560.05-20-2-1815.214.21.0213.812.11.71

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison78770.55-0.050.59-0.1323-12412.815.4-2.6215.413.71.66
Adonal Foyle60570.55-0.050.59-0.2226-43013.513.30.1315.514.31.20
Bob Sura38370.330.170.16-0.11157814.412.81.5215.814.51.28
Gilbert Arenas65680.260.240.01-0.041012-212.714.6-1.9014.615.8-1.17
Troy Murphy58590.250.250.00-0.01913-414.212.31.8814.515.6-1.07
Earl Boykins43400.250.25-0.01-0.111210214.912.32.5816.014.31.66
Jason Richardson68660.200.30-0.100.06517-1213.513.30.1813.917.0-3.15
Mike Dunleavy51510.170.33-0.16-0.151111012.514.4-1.8815.414.60.77
Jiri Welsch760.000.50-0.50-0.09319-1611.913.5-1.6715.714.90.74
Erick Dampier4244-0.050.55-0.590.07-426-3013.313.5-0.1314.315.5-1.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 83, PHI 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
NJN 97, DEN 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
NYK 92, ORL 1180.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%