NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	6.3 [527]		MVP	Tony Delk (BOS): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	4.0 [468]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -12.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	12	60%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.03	0.03	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Vin Baker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.15,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	17	50%	0.00	3	-0.12	8	75%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	64%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	14	59%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	12	58%	-0.04
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	23	42%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.7	24.2	15.5	26.3	2.4	29.7	129.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +3.8%

PHX +27.2%

PHX +9.2%

PHX +11.9%

BOS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	18.3	16.4	15.5	109.5	124.4	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	24.0	16.4	17.2	18.3
PHX	14.1	18.4	15.6	17.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	37	36	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.06	5	-15	20	17.8	18.8	-1.01	17.0	15.9	1.10
Kedrick Brown	14	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-17	24	14.9	19.0	-4.07	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Shammond Williams	27	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-12	14	17.0	19.0	-2.00	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Vin Baker	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-9	8	15.7	18.6	-2.84	12.9	16.7	-3.82
Tony Battie	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	20.7	18.1	2.61	17.8	16.2	1.60
Eric Williams	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.19	1	-11	12	19.1	16.8	2.31	16.7	15.7	0.92
Antoine Walker	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	18.3	18.3	-0.01	16.4	16.1	0.35
Paul Pierce	62	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	4	-18	18.1	18.9	-0.80	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Grant Long	31	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	1	-12	20.9	16.8	4.14	17.0	16.0	0.99
Walter McCarty	65	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	5	-20	17.9	19.7	-1.83	16.2	16.9	-0.70
Tony Delk	47	45	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	5	-20	18.8	17.8	1.01	16.2	16.5	-0.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	70	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.19	20	-10	30	16.4	15.9	0.51	18.9	15.6	3.21
Stephon Marbury	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-4	18	16.1	18.7	-2.66	18.2	19.3	-1.11
Shawn Marion	78	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-4	18	16.4	15.2	1.16	18.7	12.8	5.87
Joe Johnson	55	55	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-3	16	16.8	15.5	1.25	18.5	17.9	0.65
Bo Outlaw	68	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	7	-4	16.5	15.6	0.94	17.7	21.2	-3.47
Dan Langhi	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	8	-6	16.4	16.3	0.08	18.6	18.2	0.37
Casey Jacobsen	27	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	13	-16	15.5	16.8	-1.25	17.9	18.5	-0.65
Jake Voskuhl	8	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	17	-24	14.4	16.6	-2.19	15.3	18.7	-3.35
Randy Brown	10	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	16	-22	17.6	16.2	1.42	18.8	18.2	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.74,0.73,0.88,0.96,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.6%
NYK 103, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.59,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,1	92.1%
SAS 76, NOK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.95,0.97,0.89,1,1,1	92.1%