NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	116		Excitement	8.2 [222]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +11.1%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	2.6 [182]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -17.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11	-0.01	0.13	0.01	22	51%	0.16	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	79%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	17	47%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	0.01	15	63%	-0.03	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.15

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	15	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.08
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	13	69%	0.08	7	-0.19	10	70%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.14	-0.14	0.09	-0.20	0.03	27	63%	-0.05	3	-0.09	14	86%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	7	14%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.7	29.0	14.5	29.4	1.8	40.0	147.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +54.0%

PHX -23.9%

NYK +1.5%

NYK +1.7%

NYK +16.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHX	NBA	NYK	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	15.5	111.5	113.9	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		102.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.1	15.1	13.3	15.9	14.5
PHX	13.6	14.3	13.9	12.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	82	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	14.8	13.5	1.33	13.4	14.0	-0.54
Latrell Sprewell	89	87	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-4	9	14.4	15.5	-1.07	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Allan Houston	83	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	0	1	14.8	13.7	1.04	13.7	12.8	0.85
Othella Harrington	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-8	17	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.0	13.1	0.85
Shandon Anderson	37	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.50	-6	7	-13	14.6	14.5	0.07	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Charlie Ward	51	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	5	-9	15.3	13.9	1.39	13.1	14.0	-0.96
Howard Eisley	54	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-4	9	13.7	15.5	-1.83	13.8	13.3	0.46
Michael Doleac	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	7	-13	14.0	14.7	-0.69	14.6	13.3	1.31
Clar. Weatherspoon	54	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	7	-13	14.9	14.2	0.71	13.4	13.7	-0.35

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	38	40	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-5	9	13.6	13.5	0.07	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Dan Langhi	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.69	24	-25	49	13.0	14.1	-1.16	14.8	14.3	0.54
Randy Brown	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	2	-5	15.2	13.4	1.74	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Jake Voskuhl	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-3	5	14.7	12.7	1.94	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Scott Williams	22	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	11	-23	12.4	13.8	-1.44	15.4	14.3	1.07
Casey Jacobsen	19	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	4	-9	12.7	13.7	-1.05	12.4	15.1	-2.66
Stephon Marbury	92	95	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.49	6	-7	13	13.4	15.0	-1.61	14.6	14.3	0.24
Shawn Marion	87	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-1	1	13.6	13.1	0.54	14.8	13.3	1.42
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	4	-9	13.7	12.5	1.21	15.2	11.6	3.63
Joe Johnson	63	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.25	-16	15	-31	13.5	13.5	0.01	14.8	14.2	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.21,0.14,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.36,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.05,0,0	92.0%
HOU 124, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%
NJN 114, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	91.8%