NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.1 [231]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +27.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	8.1 [62]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -42.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.22	0.01	5	80%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	73%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	2	87%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Vin Baker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.11	-0.10	0.04	20	72%	0.17	4	-0.19	10	70%	-0.02
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Grant Long	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	18	50%	0.12	7	-0.20	2	50%	-0.02
J.R. Bremer	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.03	16	75%	0.22	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.03
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	7	67%	0.14	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.07
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	8	36%	-0.19	5	-0.11	6	33%	-0.23
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.35,-0.43	-0.43	-0.25	-0.23	-0.05	5	14%	-0.23	7	-0.20	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.8	33.1	19.7	30.0	2.7	40.0	156.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.9%

BOS +10.3%

POR -24.0%

BOS +16.7%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.5	103.1	96.8	101.6
season	15.6	16.0		99.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	19.5	17.1	14.2	15.7
POR	14.8	13.9	14.2	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	70	69	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.06	23	-15	38	14.8	18.2	-3.40	14.4	13.9	0.45
Eric Williams	57	56	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-7	22	15.4	16.2	-0.88	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Shammond Williams	35	31	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.58	3	5	-2	16.1	15.5	0.64	13.1	14.8	-1.72
Walter McCarty	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	0	8	15.0	17.1	-2.08	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Antoine Walker	92	90	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	8	-8	16.1	9.0	7.10	14.1	17.6	-3.53
Grant Long	34	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	2	4	15.6	15.8	-0.13	15.3	13.7	1.65
J.R. Bremer	45	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	16.9	14.7	2.24	13.6	14.8	-1.18
Vin Baker	44	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	15	-22	16.3	15.2	1.07	15.2	13.5	1.73
Tony Delk	43	45	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.18	-4	12	-16	15.9	15.6	0.27	15.6	13.0	2.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	44	43	0.45	-0.95	1.41	-0.07	18	-26	44	15.1	13.5	1.65	16.7	14.9	1.78
Antonio Daniels	10	11	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.11	12	-20	32	12.6	14.4	-1.85	21.1	15.0	6.04
Arvydas Sabonis	23	26	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-15	22	13.8	14.4	-0.56	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	22	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-16	24	14.4	14.2	0.20	18.3	14.9	3.31
Zach Randolph	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	18.0	13.9	4.09	21.7	15.3	6.45
Rasheed Wallace	87	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	13.9	18.0	-4.09	15.3	21.7	-6.45
Scottie Pippen	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	8	-24	14.2	14.4	-0.20	14.9	18.3	-3.31
Derek Anderson	85	86	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.10	-20	12	-32	14.4	12.6	1.85	15.0	21.1	-6.04
Dale Davis	72	71	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	7	-22	14.4	13.8	0.56	15.7	15.7	0.00
Bonzi Wells	51	54	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.19	-26	18	-44	13.5	15.1	-1.65	14.9	16.7	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.55,0.16,0	90.1%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	89.0%
PHI 93, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.42,0	89.0%