NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	6.6 [474]		MVP	Mike Batiste (MEM): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.0 [381]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -28.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	20	57%	0.00	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	-0.03	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Kenyon Martin	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	13	45%	-0.08	5	-0.20	7	43%	-0.07

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	7	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	70%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	70%	0.06	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	44%	-0.07	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	10	44%	-0.03	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	8	29%	-0.20	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.7	31.1	16.4	28.8	1.8	42.4	145.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +25.2%

NJN -4.3%

MEM +20.8%

MEM +4.9%

MEM +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MEM	NBA	NJN	MEM	NBA
this game	13.4	17.1	15.5	94.7	103.2	101.6
season	15.0	15.3		101.1	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.1	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	12.4	14.0	12.4	13.4
MEM	17.7	17.0	18.1	15.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	67	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-13	19	13.0	14.3	-1.27	16.2	19.3	-3.02
Jason Collins	69	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-12	17	13.3	13.7	-0.47	17.0	17.5	-0.49
Kenyon Martin	65	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-9	11	13.9	12.3	1.54	17.6	15.9	1.73
Brian Scalabrine	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-4	1	11.9	14.7	-2.81	16.9	17.3	-0.37
Anthony Johnson	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	12.2	13.7	-1.44	18.2	16.8	1.38
Jason Kidd	77	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-5	3	13.7	12.2	1.44	16.8	18.2	-1.38
Aaron Williams	24	23	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	3	-13	14.4	13.1	1.32	19.3	16.4	2.91
Lucious Harris	29	28	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	6	-19	14.0	13.1	0.93	18.8	16.4	2.39
Richard Jefferson	81	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	8	-23	13.7	11.5	2.22	16.4	21.1	-4.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	62	64	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.10	23	-16	39	16.1	19.0	-2.82	14.0	12.0	2.01
Wesley Person	56	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	2	3	16.7	17.7	-1.06	13.1	13.8	-0.71
Stromile Swift	38	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	1	5	18.2	16.4	1.81	12.6	13.9	-1.26
Earl Watson	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	6	-5	16.7	19.6	-2.91	13.4	13.5	-0.09
Mike Batiste	21	20	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	6	-5	19.0	16.5	2.50	14.1	13.2	0.90
Pau Gasol	74	76	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.13	3	4	-1	16.6	19.0	-2.41	13.2	14.3	-1.16
Lorenzen Wright	53	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	5	-3	16.8	17.5	-0.72	14.1	12.4	1.66
Gordan Giricek	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	3	1	17.0	17.2	-0.14	13.6	13.2	0.43
Drew Gooden	45	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	17	-27	19.2	15.2	3.93	12.5	14.2	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,1	93.3%
SAC 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.76,0.84,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
MIL 99, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	93.2%