inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 98 Excitement8.7 [160] MVPWally Szczerbiak (MIN): +46.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves 100 Comeback4.2 [203] LVPNick Van Exel (DAL): -35.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0.270,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.270.080.190.00590%0.2700.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.230,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.230.130.130.032169%0.293-0.06786%-0.01
Adrian Griffin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Antoine Rigaudeau0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Walt Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Raja Bell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.090.00-0.11-0.011951%-0.052-0.043100%0.02
Eduardo Najera-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15-0.03-0.130.00250%0.011-0.16250%-0.01
Steve Nash-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.090.011250%0.013-0.16475%0.01
Nick Van Exel-0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36-0.12-0.24-0.001136%-0.283-0.0830%-0.16

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.460.460.120.34-0.001187%0.573-0.112100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01875%0.092-0.03475%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.04-0.01756%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Marc Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Igor Rakocevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00150%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01753%0.023-0.0710%-0.01
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.11-0.110.02-0.13-0.00956%0.071-0.1800%0.00
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.17-0.08-0.03930%-0.144-0.075100%0.04
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.09,-0.25-0.25-0.17-0.11-0.042642%-0.054-0.191060%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.431.515.726.02.632.2136.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +25.6%
MIN +25.5%
MIN +21.0%
DAL -20.1%
DAL -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMINNBADALMINNBA
this game15.114.915.5102.1104.2101.6
season15.114.9108.6104.0
opponent15.815.3102.3102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.916.817.314.215.1
MIN12.817.515.414.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz34360.29-0.791.090.184-61013.216.2-2.9814.215.3-1.03
Adrian Griffin20200.17-0.670.84-0.068-101814.615.2-0.5716.314.51.77
Antoine Rigaudeau77-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-31-418.714.83.8920.314.55.81
Evan Eschmeyer1817-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-42-619.514.15.4115.614.70.91
Shawn Bradley3130-0.15-0.350.19-0.06-31-414.615.3-0.7315.214.70.49
Walt Williams1716-0.18-0.320.140.03-75-1215.215.10.0917.914.33.57
Nick Van Exel6160-0.19-0.310.12-0.5412-142615.115.10.0715.014.70.23
Raja Bell3333-0.24-0.260.020.08-119-2014.115.6-1.5412.915.9-2.98
Dirk Nowitzki8989-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.431-3414.818.7-3.8914.520.3-5.81
Michael Finley8183-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.40-31-415.413.61.7814.616.7-2.08
Eduardo Najera2121-0.520.02-0.53-0.572-4615.615.00.6015.214.80.44
Steve Nash6868-0.570.07-0.65-0.40-64-1015.214.80.4514.914.90.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic68680.69-0.190.890.4010-81814.416.0-1.5615.414.50.85
Wally Szczerbiak71730.57-0.070.630.396-41015.114.40.7215.115.2-0.09
Kevin Garnett90890.480.020.460.393-1414.816.3-1.5315.017.0-2.04
Troy Hudson76760.480.020.460.393-1414.715.5-0.7615.613.32.28
Anthony Peeler74720.260.240.030.47-79-1614.316.9-2.6114.118.2-4.08
Igor Rakocevic20200.020.48-0.460.05-13-415.514.70.7613.315.6-2.28
Kendall Gill36370.000.50-0.500.06-24-614.914.9-0.0116.314.41.90
Marc Jackson1415-0.000.50-0.500.09-35-815.714.80.9613.615.4-1.78
Gary Trent3130-0.010.51-0.51-0.0311016.814.02.8216.814.32.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 93, TOR 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,190.7%
DET 79, CHH 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.52,0.22,0.43,0.84,190.1%
WAS 96, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,189.9%