NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	6.9 [432]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +28.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.7 [834]		LVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): -9.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	20	59%	0.19	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Rashard Lewis	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	15	58%	0.13	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	93%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.06
Ansu Sesay	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.18	-0.01	18	64%	0.36	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.02	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	46%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	70%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.9	15.8	25.2	1.7	33.4	128.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +14.2%

MIL +10.6%

MIL +2.5%

MIL +16.1%

MIL +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	18.3	16.2	15.5	109.6	115.5	101.6
season	16.5	15.4		101.7	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		106.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.5	18.1	23.8	15.9	18.3
MIL	17.8	16.1	16.2	14.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	43	44	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	19.4	17.2	2.20	17.1	15.1	1.94
Kenny Anderson	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-1	-4	18.0	18.5	-0.45	16.3	16.1	0.22
Ansu Sesay	13	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	19.4	18.1	1.24	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Calvin Booth	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-1	-4	19.3	17.8	1.50	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Predrag Drobnjak	17	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	1	-8	17.3	18.6	-1.31	14.4	16.6	-2.27
Jerome James	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-8	10	18.8	17.9	0.84	16.7	15.7	1.03
Rashard Lewis	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	18.4	18.2	0.11	16.5	14.9	1.61
Desmond Mason	71	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	18.0	20.2	-2.14	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Brent Barry	42	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	2	-10	17.5	19.2	-1.79	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Gary Payton	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-2	-2	18.0	20.4	-2.34	16.0	17.1	-1.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	41	41	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-11	28	15.5	16.8	-1.23	17.0	19.6	-2.64
Toni Kukoc	49	48	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-7	20	15.9	16.5	-0.64	18.1	18.7	-0.60
Ray Allen	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	0	6	16.4	15.8	0.68	18.5	18.1	0.37
Ervin Johnson	38	38	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-6	18	15.4	16.8	-1.36	19.1	17.7	1.32
Michael Redd	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-3	12	14.6	18.2	-3.66	18.1	18.6	-0.53
Anthony Mason	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	8	-10	16.1	16.2	-0.06	17.6	20.3	-2.63
Tim Thomas	59	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.32	-6	12	-18	16.8	14.7	2.12	18.4	18.3	0.06
Sam Cassell	49	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	15	-24	17.0	15.0	2.05	19.5	16.8	2.75
Jason Caffey	28	28	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	16	-26	18.0	15.2	2.75	19.4	17.8	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	94.8%
CLE 98, BKN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,1,1,1	93.7%
MIA 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	93.6%