NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	87		Excitement	5.5 [693]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +24.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.2 [981]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -11.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	21	52%	0.06	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.04
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
John Stockton	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	12	45%	-0.09	2	-0.02	7	86%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.14	-0.02	25	62%	0.29	2	-0.04	18	89%	0.06
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	90%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	17	52%	0.10	4	-0.12	6	17%	-0.04
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	30.2	16.5	28.4	1.6	32.5	140.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.2%

LAL +5.3%

UTA -11.8%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.1	15.5	97.8	112.5	101.6
season	16.3	15.4		103.1	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.7	17.0	17.8	15.4	17.4
LAL	14.6	16.5	14.1	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-10	8	15.6	17.7	-2.07	17.2	14.8	2.39
John Stockton	53	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	17.7	17.1	0.61	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Greg Ostertag	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-8	4	18.6	16.1	2.51	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Karl Malone	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	17.4	17.6	-0.14	15.1	14.9	0.18
Tony Massenburg	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-8	4	16.8	17.9	-1.08	16.9	13.8	3.16
Calbert Cheaney	75	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-6	0	17.3	18.1	-0.82	14.5	17.9	-3.39
Scott Padgett	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	0	-12	18.5	15.4	3.14	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Mark Jackson	36	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	0	-12	17.1	17.7	-0.61	16.3	14.3	1.96
Andrei Kirilenko	54	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	3	-18	16.3	19.3	-2.98	14.8	15.5	-0.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	51	52	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.19	17	-5	22	15.6	14.4	1.21	16.8	18.4	-1.64
Devean George	49	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	1	10	15.2	14.9	0.37	15.4	20.1	-4.77
Kobe Bryant	82	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	0	12	15.2	13.2	2.05	17.1	21.7	-4.63
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	5	2	14.6	16.6	-1.97	17.9	15.9	2.08
Derek Fisher	47	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	6	0	14.6	15.7	-1.08	19.3	15.2	4.04
Kareem Rush	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	6	0	16.0	14.4	1.56	15.6	18.6	-3.00
Slava Medvedenko	13	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	12	-12	16.5	14.8	1.71	16.6	17.6	-0.96
Brian Shaw	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	10	-8	12.2	15.6	-3.43	17.4	17.5	-0.08
Rick Fox	42	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	8	-4	14.2	15.9	-1.70	19.5	15.6	3.97
Samaki Walker	39	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	17	-22	15.9	14.4	1.47	18.3	16.7	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
PHX 129, MIA 135	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,1,1	93.7%
OKC 98, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,1	93.6%