NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	5.3 [736]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +20.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	1.5 [808]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -11.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	13	72%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	46%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	9	48%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	12	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	22	64%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	20	56%	0.15	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	15	54%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.06
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	29.2	15.8	23.2	1.7	32.3	129.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.4%

LAC +1.6%

MEM -12.2%

LAC +23.3%

LAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.5	105.6	114.4	101.6
season	15.3	15.4		101.8	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	15.8	14.6	18.6	15.9
LAC	14.1	14.2	17.5	19.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-15	22	15.7	16.3	-0.61	16.1	16.0	0.08
Shane Battier	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	15.0	17.9	-2.84	16.9	14.4	2.49
Stromile Swift	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-7	6	17.2	15.2	2.07	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Pau Gasol	62	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	15.1	17.9	-2.79	17.1	13.9	3.20
Brevin Knight	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-8	8	17.5	15.1	2.43	15.2	16.6	-1.36
Mike Batiste	23	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	17.9	15.3	2.66	13.7	17.0	-3.25
Jason Williams	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	0	-8	15.1	17.5	-2.43	16.6	15.2	1.36
Earl Watson	29	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	17.9	15.0	2.90	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Lorenzen Wright	62	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	1	-10	15.4	17.2	-1.81	16.8	14.5	2.30
Gordan Giricek	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	7	-22	16.2	15.7	0.52	15.9	16.2	-0.30

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-4	16	16.4	15.2	1.23	15.9	15.9	0.02
Elton Brand	82	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-5	18	16.6	10.7	5.84	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Corey Maggette	60	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-6	20	15.9	16.3	-0.40	16.7	14.2	2.44
Lamar Odom	82	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-8	24	15.8	18.6	-2.81	15.7	17.6	-1.94
Andre Miller	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	16.1	0.0	16.07	15.9	0.0	15.93
Tremaine Fowlkes	15	17	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	11	-14	15.7	16.1	-0.40	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Melvin Ely	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	9	-10	15.4	16.1	-0.69	17.6	15.8	1.86
Keyon Dooling	40	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	19	-30	15.0	16.9	-1.83	15.1	16.6	-1.47
Wang Zhi-zhi	6	7	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	16	-24	18.7	15.9	2.79	15.7	16.0	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
DEN 99, CHH 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
CHI 76, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%