NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	6.3 [534]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +14.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	8.8 [56]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (POR): -21.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.02	10	71%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	17	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	0.01	-0.03	18	43%	-0.02	4	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	17	50%	0.05	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	14	31%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	29.2	15.7	28.2	1.6	31.2	132.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.0%

PHX +8.5%

POR -9.4%

PHX +5.8%

POR -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	16.0	15.5	93.6	86.2	101.6
season	15.0	16.0		101.1	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	14.3	14.2	15.5	14.7
POR	13.0	17.0	17.7	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	59	58	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-6	19	14.1	15.7	-1.62	16.3	15.4	0.98
Randy Brown	30	30	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-9	25	13.9	15.0	-1.18	18.5	14.8	3.72
Joe Johnson	54	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-3	13	14.3	15.2	-0.97	16.1	15.8	0.25
Casey Jacobsen	13	13	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-6	19	12.8	15.0	-2.21	19.5	15.4	4.14
Stephon Marbury	80	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	3	1	14.7	14.2	0.54	15.8	17.1	-1.38
Anfernee Hardaway	58	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	8	-9	15.4	13.5	1.94	15.0	17.5	-2.53
Shawn Marion	80	79	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	13	-19	14.9	13.4	1.46	15.1	20.4	-5.27
Scott Williams	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	24.0	14.5	9.53	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Amar'e Stoudemire	49	51	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	8	-9	15.0	14.3	0.73	16.3	15.6	0.67
Bo Outlaw	45	46	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.00	-11	18	-29	14.8	14.6	0.16	15.4	16.5	-1.09

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	73	72	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.13	11	-18	29	15.0	19.5	-4.52	15.0	13.6	1.41
Dale Davis	55	53	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-11	15	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.1	14.1	0.97
Rasheed Wallace	86	84	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-11	15	15.6	19.6	-4.00	14.9	12.5	2.43
Zach Randolph	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	19.0	15.9	3.13	12.7	14.8	-2.01
Scottie Pippen	70	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.31	7	-14	21	15.6	17.0	-1.39	15.6	11.9	3.71
Arvydas Sabonis	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.6	1.27	13.0	15.4	-2.47
Ruben Patterson	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-4	1	15.7	16.2	-0.49	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Jeff McInnis	27	25	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	11	-29	17.7	15.3	2.38	12.1	15.6	-3.47
Antonio Daniels	21	23	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	11	-29	19.5	15.0	4.52	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Bonzi Wells	59	60	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.42	-13	6	-19	15.7	16.5	-0.78	15.6	13.0	2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.27,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, NOK 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0,0	91.9%
ATL 101, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.36,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.01,0	90.4%
NYK 95, BKN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.1,0	90.4%