NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	6.1 [600]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +10.5%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	76		Comeback	6.8 [108]		LVP	Milt Palacio (UTA): -17.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.01	10	68%	0.17	3	-0.07	5	20%	-0.08
Devin Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	10	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.05	0.06	7	69%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	11	35%	-0.08	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	27.5	14.8	26.3	1.6	31.0	130.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.4%

NOK -1.0%

UTA +8.0%

UTA +5.4%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOK	NBA	UTA	NOK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.6	88.2	81.7	104.4
season	17.0	16.3		101.7	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	14.4	16.6	15.0	15.0
NOK	13.6	16.9	17.7	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	60	59	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-13	32	14.0	16.6	-2.60	16.7	14.9	1.78
Matt Harpring	50	49	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-8	22	14.6	15.4	-0.82	16.6	15.3	1.31
Devin Brown	57	56	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-9	24	13.9	16.7	-2.79	16.8	14.8	1.95
Deron Williams	61	60	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-8	22	14.2	16.3	-2.11	16.5	15.1	1.43
Andrei Kirilenko	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	15.4	11.4	4.08	16.2	14.4	1.80
Keith McLeod	32	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	14	-22	16.3	14.2	2.11	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Milt Palacio	36	37	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	15	-24	16.7	13.9	2.79	14.8	16.8	-1.95
Mehmet Okur	54	54	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	17	-28	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.1	17.2	-2.06
Jarron Collins	33	34	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	19	-32	16.6	14.0	2.60	14.9	16.7	-1.78

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	52	52	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.00	9	-15	24	14.7	17.7	-3.08	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Jackson Vroman	25	26	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-11	16	17.4	15.5	1.95	17.8	13.8	4.01
P.J. Brown	70	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-3	0	16.3	15.2	1.05	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Moochie Norris	15	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	2	-10	18.6	15.5	3.09	15.7	14.8	0.96
Chris Paul	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-8	10	15.5	18.6	-3.09	14.8	15.7	-0.96
Kirk Snyder	50	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-3	0	17.0	14.8	2.23	15.4	14.4	1.04
Bostjan Nachbar	36	39	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.9	16.1	-0.24	15.5	14.6	0.91
Aaron Williams	67	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	5	-16	15.7	16.7	-0.95	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Rasual Butler	72	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	6	-18	15.8	16.6	-0.72	14.4	16.7	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 127, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.71,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.27,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.3%
NYK 95, BKN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.1,0	92.4%
CHI 91, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.03,0,0	92.3%