inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 71 Excitement4.8 [828] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DAL): +7.7%
Dallas Mavericks 86 Comeback2.4 [1130] LVPJunior Harrington (DEN): -14.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.00769%0.071-0.02250%-0.00
Rodney White0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00570%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.05642%0.082-0.0700%0.00
Mark Blount-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01650%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.02-0.041754%0.043-0.05786%0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.02-0.041440%-0.034-0.062100%0.01
Donnell Harvey-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.02-0.05730%-0.082-0.01667%-0.02
Ryan Bowen-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.02-0.0000%0.004-0.1100%0.00
Junior Harrington-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.04-0.03614%-0.092-0.0520%-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.021062%0.0800.00667%-0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.01380%0.0400.00450%-0.02
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.001359%0.103-0.09683%0.01
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.02-0.071229%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.010.021746%-0.021-0.02580%0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.011340%-0.061-0.004100%0.03
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.02533%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.433.317.626.22.627.8132.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -3.5%
DAL +15.9%
DAL +4.5%
DAL +31.1%
DAL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game16.316.215.580.796.6101.6
season15.715.190.4108.6
opponent15.315.3102.099.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.414.220.515.216.3
DAL17.013.518.416.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene5556-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-12916.416.20.2216.415.90.55
Vincent Yarbrough6060-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-141316.515.90.5716.116.4-0.28
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2525-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-6-314.217.2-2.9616.116.3-0.20
Ryan Bowen1213-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-5-515.716.4-0.6615.416.4-0.98
Mark Blount3131-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-8116.216.4-0.1916.316.20.05
Donnell Harvey7069-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-11716.814.32.5016.216.4-0.29
Juwan Howard7172-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.01-12-3-916.614.91.7116.415.41.00
Rodney White3537-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-2-1115.916.6-0.6215.616.7-1.08
Junior Harrington8182-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.03-161-1716.316.00.3516.513.13.34

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki81820.55-0.050.600.141411315.820.6-4.8316.711.55.17
Michael Finley64640.490.010.480.051501516.316.10.2017.413.53.88
Raef LaFrentz49480.460.040.42-0.0718-32115.017.7-2.6814.618.4-3.77
Nick Van Exel63620.390.110.290.011321115.617.7-2.1315.218.9-3.70
Walt Williams30310.350.150.19-0.01123915.016.8-1.8515.516.8-1.29
Steve Nash49480.300.200.09-0.06123915.517.1-1.6816.715.90.77
Adrian Griffin38370.110.39-0.290.05213-1118.014.93.0518.414.83.65
Popeye Jones430.000.50-0.50-0.06213-1122.715.96.8310.716.5-5.85
Shawn Bradley4847-0.050.55-0.590.16-722-2917.714.43.3117.714.73.02
Raja Bell1918-0.090.59-0.680.08-621-2718.215.72.5212.717.2-4.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 74, NOH 890.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
OKC 93, ATL 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.5%
OKC 88, TOR 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,194.4%