NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	5.0 [790]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (CHI): +7.3%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.0 [438]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	5	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	23	55%	0.05	3	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	482.7	2.4	30.2	15.8	25.3	2.6	33.3	592.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.4%

CHI +9.2%

CHI +5.1%

POR -7.0%

CHI +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.5	94.6	109.7	101.6
season	16.0	15.0		104.3	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	14.4	16.0	16.5	15.6
CHI	12.8	18.3	14.6	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-15	15	9.0	15.9	-6.89	22.0	15.3	6.74
Zach Randolph	43	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	15.0	16.1	-1.19	17.2	14.1	3.10
Qyntel Woods	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	10.2	16.0	-5.80	17.4	15.4	2.03
Damon Stoudamire	20	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-18	21	17.3	15.1	2.25	15.9	15.5	0.44
Ruben Patterson	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-17	19	14.5	16.7	-2.13	17.5	13.7	3.78
Arvydas Sabonis	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-19	23	14.7	16.1	-1.36	16.8	14.8	1.96
Jeff McInnis	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-15	15	15.1	16.0	-0.89	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Dale Davis	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-1	-13	17.1	14.7	2.43	13.5	16.8	-3.31
Derek Anderson	60	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-2	-11	15.9	15.0	0.95	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Scottie Pippen	53	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	0	-15	16.0	15.1	0.89	15.7	15.3	0.44
Bonzi Wells	56	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.15	-24	9	-33	15.8	15.2	0.64	13.6	18.5	-4.97
Rasheed Wallace	64	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.08	-23	8	-31	16.3	14.0	2.23	14.6	17.7	-3.06

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	88	87	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.07	25	-10	35	15.1	24.2	-9.14	16.0	9.0	6.97
Trenton Hassell	69	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-6	27	14.3	19.0	-4.71	16.1	14.1	2.03
Donyell Marshall	40	38	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	-4	23	14.1	16.7	-2.59	16.4	15.0	1.47
Jay Williams	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	9	-3	15.7	15.4	0.26	16.4	14.2	2.20
Tyson Chandler	66	66	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	3	9	15.3	16.1	-0.85	15.7	15.2	0.55
Eddy Curry	27	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	12	-9	16.1	15.3	0.85	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Marcus Fizer	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	23	-31	16.4	14.7	1.74	15.7	15.5	0.26
Corie Blount	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	11	-7	17.9	15.3	2.55	10.7	16.0	-5.30
Fred Hoiberg	43	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	16	-17	16.4	14.8	1.62	13.6	17.2	-3.57
Eddie Robinson	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	21	-27	19.0	14.3	4.71	14.1	16.1	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	94.8%
PHI 88, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%
DEN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,1	94.0%