NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	80		Excitement	8.8 [152]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +70.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	13.3 [105]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -29.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	15	62%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	87%	0.12	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	11	31%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	6	27%	-0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Gary Payton	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3	-0.18	-0.11	0.01	15	36%	-0.12	6	-0.17	3	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.7	0.70	0.10	0.62	0.01	21	61%	0.76	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.06	0.00	8	37%	0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	47%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.10
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	17	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.2	25.5	15.4	23.4	2.4	35.2	126.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +68.8%

SEA -17.9%

SEA -12.4%

POR +10.3%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.5	84.2	89.0	101.6
season	16.5	16.0		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.1	14.0	16.5	15.9	16.0
POR	14.6	14.2	16.3	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	68	69	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-12	23	15.2	17.9	-2.69	15.9	12.0	3.88
Predrag Drobnjak	42	43	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-6	11	16.7	15.4	1.28	16.0	14.0	2.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	45	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-2	3	15.7	16.3	-0.63	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Ansu Sesay	21	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.24	-11	10	-21	18.5	15.3	3.18	12.2	15.7	-3.52
Rashard Lewis	74	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.71	10	-11	21	15.3	18.5	-3.18	15.7	12.2	3.52
Gary Payton	73	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.49	1	-2	3	17.2	11.9	5.38	15.0	14.6	0.42
Vitaly Potapenko	51	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	1	-3	15.4	16.7	-1.40	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Reggie Evans	48	44	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	6	-13	16.2	15.8	0.42	15.6	14.3	1.25
Desmond Mason	51	46	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.48	-13	12	-25	15.4	16.7	-1.31	12.8	17.2	-4.37

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	73	75	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.51	7	-6	13	15.3	13.7	1.59	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Damon Stoudamire	13	15	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-8	17	13.9	15.1	-1.19	16.3	15.9	0.40
Arvydas Sabonis	28	31	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.81	-6	7	-13	14.1	15.3	-1.16	14.1	16.9	-2.83
Ruben Patterson	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.70	-8	9	-17	14.1	15.8	-1.69	17.1	14.8	2.32
Scottie Pippen	60	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.64	-7	8	-15	16.1	12.7	3.34	16.5	15.1	1.47
Derek Anderson	79	82	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	6	-11	14.8	16.0	-1.22	15.7	17.8	-2.14
Antonio Daniels	12	13	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	-5	11	16.0	14.8	1.22	17.8	15.7	2.14
Qyntel Woods	19	21	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-4	9	13.9	15.2	-1.26	12.0	17.1	-5.20
Jeff McInnis	36	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.20	10	-9	19	13.1	16.2	-3.08	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Dale Davis	56	59	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.24	7	-6	13	15.9	13.4	2.56	16.6	15.1	1.52
Zach Randolph	32	32	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.10	-10	11	-21	15.1	14.9	0.18	16.9	15.6	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 113, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.27,1	90.5%
DET 87, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1	90.3%
PHI 101, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.05,0.27,1	89.8%