NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	84		Excitement	6.8 [449]		MVP	Wesley Person (MEM): +40.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	12.1 [118]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (MEM): -13.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	19	43%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Haislip	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	18	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	20	43%	0.06	5	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.27,0.4,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.15	0.26	-0.00	12	85%	0.45	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	11	46%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	52%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	14	46%	0.03	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	27.0	15.4	23.5	1.8	29.3	123.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +63.7%

MEM +2.7%

MEM +16.9%

MIL -32.0%

MIL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MEM	NBA	MIL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.5	88.4	99.0	101.6
season	15.4	15.3		106.3	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	14.3	16.2	16.2	15.5
MEM	14.2	17.0	13.9	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	38	38	0.43	-0.93	1.35	0.13	10	-21	31	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.6	14.1	1.50
Dan Gadzuric	45	44	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.17	3	-14	17	13.6	17.2	-3.58	15.7	13.9	1.82
Marcus Haislip	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-9	7	15.2	15.6	-0.41	14.2	14.9	-0.65
Michael Redd	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	0	-11	14.9	15.9	-1.02	13.5	15.7	-2.21
Tim Thomas	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	-5	-1	15.1	16.2	-1.07	15.5	12.9	2.60
Joel Przybilla	47	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	-1	-9	16.7	14.2	2.49	14.4	15.0	-0.66
Anthony Mason	69	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	-2	-7	16.0	14.1	1.91	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Ray Allen	73	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	1	-13	16.5	12.0	4.57	14.8	14.5	0.28
Sam Cassell	68	70	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.24	-18	7	-25	14.9	16.8	-1.89	14.1	16.4	-2.37

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	76	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-6	23	14.3	16.3	-2.09	15.7	14.5	1.27
Jason Williams	68	68	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-3	17	15.1	13.6	1.54	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Wesley Person	67	68	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-2	15	15.3	13.3	1.94	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Drew Gooden	57	59	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	4	3	15.7	13.2	2.47	15.5	15.3	0.21
Lorenzen Wright	55	55	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	1	9	15.7	13.3	2.37	15.2	15.8	-0.67
Stromile Swift	45	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	9	-7	13.7	15.5	-1.82	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Shane Battier	39	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.25	4	7	-3	13.2	15.7	-2.47	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Gordan Giricek	29	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.09	-2	13	-15	13.3	15.3	-1.94	15.5	15.5	0.03
Brevin Knight	28	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	14	-17	13.6	15.1	-1.54	15.5	15.4	0.08
Mike Batiste	16	16	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	18	-25	16.0	14.4	1.56	15.3	15.5	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.24,0.54,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.55,0.65,0.84,1	91.3%
BOS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.98,1	91.0%
NOH 95, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.45,0.84,0.73,1	90.8%