inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement7.3 [349] MVPPat Garrity (ORL): +24.1%
Utah Jazz 90 Comeback2.9 [138] LVPJohn Stockton (UTA): -29.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.240,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.240.160.090.011086%0.281-0.038100%0.06
Andrew DeClercq0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.010.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.010.03-0.030.011159%0.051-0.06580%0.00
Jeryl Sasser-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00653%0.011-0.03367%-0.02
Ryan Humphrey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.001152%-0.001-0.03580%-0.01
Pat Burke-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00250%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.031073%0.177-0.232100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.001239%-0.051-0.02475%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.070.070.070.010.011075%0.162-0.0900%0.00
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.010.00267%0.0300.002100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.011100%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Matt Harpring0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.001453%0.042-0.07475%-0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.02425%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00280%0.023-0.086100%0.04
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.08-0.021165%0.114-0.174100%0.05
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.05-0.00333%-0.013-0.1200%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.10-0.021637%-0.161-0.03862%-0.05
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.29-0.29-0.12-0.150.02837%-0.105-0.1900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.21.829.315.822.11.732.2133.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +32.7%
ORL +0.8%
UTA -16.7%
ORL +34.2%
UTA -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLUTANBAORLUTANBA
this game14.615.515.5101.094.7101.6
season14.616.3102.7103.1
opponent15.315.8101.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.915.213.614.814.6
UTA15.115.417.714.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity76760.66-0.160.830.2215-82314.515.0-0.5216.212.93.22
Shawn Kemp62640.60-0.100.700.2512-51714.714.40.3016.214.12.12
Jeryl Sasser76730.55-0.050.600.318-1913.817.9-4.1215.515.7-0.20
Darrell Armstrong79790.53-0.030.560.279-21114.714.30.4116.013.03.04
Ryan Humphrey26240.460.040.410.2861513.115.2-2.1412.416.6-4.16
Mike Miller60610.130.37-0.240.0143115.014.01.0616.513.82.65
Andrew DeClercq19190.050.45-0.410.0507-715.514.41.0514.215.9-1.64
Tracy McGrady3132-0.120.62-0.740.03-512-1716.813.63.2515.315.7-0.37
Jacque Vaughn2725-0.150.65-0.810.02-613-1914.314.8-0.4713.916.1-2.23
Pat Burke2422-0.200.70-0.900.04-815-2314.714.60.1513.716.1-2.34

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson120.08-0.580.670.032-91120.015.54.5214.514.6-0.14
Tony Massenburg890.07-0.570.630.012-91118.715.23.5212.314.9-2.54
John Amaechi3231-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-101313.616.5-2.8715.314.30.97
Mark Jackson3231-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-7716.115.20.8614.514.7-0.22
Greg Ostertag2728-0.18-0.320.140.03-70-716.115.30.7715.314.40.92
Scott Padgett3638-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-6515.315.6-0.3114.414.8-0.40
Matt Harpring5960-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-4116.114.61.5215.613.02.62
Andrei Kirilenko6262-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.24-2-5314.317.8-3.4714.614.7-0.06
John Stockton6365-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.25-70-715.216.1-0.8614.714.50.22
Karl Malone7877-0.560.06-0.62-0.24-114-1515.913.82.0714.316.1-1.83
Calbert Cheaney7777-0.650.15-0.80-0.33-114-1516.013.62.3614.116.6-2.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 87, BOS 790.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,092.9%
CHH 98, DET 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,092.5%
DET 80, WAS 690.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,092.3%