NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	78		Excitement	4.3 [940]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +9.8%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	1.1 [1004]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -15.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joseph Forte	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	59%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	10	29%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Gary Payton	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	24	46%	-0.04	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	13	74%	0.16	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	59%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	11	41%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	24.9	15.8	27.4	2.4	24.7	121.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +40.0%

DET +7.0%

SEA -9.9%

DET +14.1%

SEA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	16.9	15.5	92.9	108.3	101.6
season	16.5	16.8		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.2	17.2	18.5	16.6	17.3
DET	16.3	14.8	18.4	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joseph Forte	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	17.0	17.4	-0.36	16.6	17.0	-0.36
Predrag Drobnjak	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-16	19	18.0	16.7	1.30	17.6	16.3	1.26
Ansu Sesay	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-15	17	14.1	17.7	-3.56	19.2	16.7	2.55
Kenny Anderson	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-11	9	18.2	17.2	1.05	14.0	17.5	-3.48
Brent Barry	51	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-7	1	16.7	18.3	-1.53	17.6	15.9	1.70
Reggie Evans	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	19.1	16.0	3.04	17.2	16.8	0.40
Calvin Booth	25	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.07	-12	-1	-11	16.8	17.6	-0.72	15.2	17.6	-2.43
Desmond Mason	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-10	7	17.0	18.0	-0.95	16.9	17.0	-0.09
Rashard Lewis	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	3	-19	18.0	14.1	3.91	17.0	16.9	0.08
Gary Payton	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	2	-17	17.1	18.5	-1.41	17.2	15.6	1.56
Vladimir Radmanovic	48	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	2	-17	16.4	18.6	-2.22	16.4	17.6	-1.18

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	57	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-4	21	16.5	17.9	-1.45	16.6	19.0	-2.34
Clifford Robinson	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	-2	17	17.7	14.0	3.74	17.5	16.7	0.86
Ben Wallace	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	5	3	17.5	13.3	4.21	17.6	15.7	1.96
Jon Barry	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	3	7	16.8	17.0	-0.18	17.0	17.6	-0.63
Chauncey Billups	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	7	-1	17.1	16.7	0.42	17.5	17.1	0.38
Richard Hamilton	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	9	-5	17.1	16.6	0.49	17.5	17.1	0.42
Chucky Atkins	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	6	1	16.7	17.1	-0.42	17.1	17.5	-0.38
Zeljko Rebraca	22	23	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	7	-1	13.4	18.2	-4.85	16.8	17.6	-0.77
Hubert Davis	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	11.0	17.1	-6.09	10.0	17.4	-7.43
Mehmet Okur	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	11.0	17.1	-6.09	10.0	17.4	-7.43
Tayshaun Prince	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	11.0	17.1	-6.09	10.0	17.4	-7.43
Michael Curry	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	15	-17	18.5	16.3	2.19	19.3	16.5	2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 88, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHI 75, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%