inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 81 Excitement5.8 [630] MVPJunior Harrington (DEN): +8.6%
Denver Nuggets 92 Comeback1.7 [261] LVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): -22.7%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.040.011368%0.164-0.111283%0.02
Jonathan Bender0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00460%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Primoz Brezec0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Brad Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.031054%-0.021-0.02887%0.02
Ron Mercer-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Austin Croshere-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.001844%-0.0600.00786%0.01
Al Harrington-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00643%-0.051-0.0220%-0.03
Reggie Miller-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.02420%-0.064-0.082100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.16-0.08-0.02450%-0.027-0.21667%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.05-0.03570%0.142-0.0500%0.00
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.011041%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.011745%0.0100.00475%0.01
Vincent Yarbrough00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.01-0.031353%0.074-0.11875%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01337%-0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Mark Blount0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.01-0.01854%0.033-0.08862%-0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.020.031753%-0.013-0.07989%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.92.335.315.726.72.531.5144.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.2%
IND -12.5%
DEN +8.5%
DEN +10.3%
DEN +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDENNBAINDDENNBA
this game15.017.415.590.0104.5101.6
season15.415.7102.290.4
opponent15.315.599.499.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.217.012.315.515.0
DEN16.816.419.816.517.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller68650.08-0.580.67-0.158-192714.915.4-0.5417.517.20.29
Primoz Brezec110.00-0.500.50-0.062-13158.015.1-7.089.017.5-8.48
Metta World Peace6464-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-151914.616.0-1.4117.616.90.70
Jonathan Bender2927-0.06-0.440.39-0.091-121315.214.90.3617.817.20.56
Austin Croshere1011-0.10-0.400.31-0.07-1-10915.714.90.7915.417.7-2.31
Jeff Foster88-0.16-0.340.170.07-8-3-512.115.3-3.1614.217.7-3.45
Jermaine O'Neal6261-0.18-0.320.13-0.180-111114.516.2-1.7617.916.31.57
Jamaal Tinsley6360-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-8514.516.1-1.5318.614.83.76
Ron Mercer1716-0.21-0.290.080.09-10-1-914.515.1-0.5816.117.7-1.62
Erick Strickland1516-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-1-915.314.90.4014.618.0-3.45
Reggie Miller6260-0.580.08-0.65-0.08-176-2316.312.24.1016.918.5-1.63
Al Harrington5151-0.770.27-1.03-0.15-2110-3115.714.01.7217.916.71.13

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Junior Harrington34360.67-0.170.840.3212-11317.317.4-0.1015.214.90.32
Donnell Harvey57580.64-0.140.780.2015-41917.916.51.4415.114.80.34
Mark Blount63650.57-0.070.640.28101917.217.9-0.7516.012.33.77
James Posey88900.500.000.500.181101117.40.017.3915.00.015.00
Juwan Howard67690.210.29-0.080.0947-318.314.53.7614.516.8-2.30
Vincent Yarbrough13130.120.38-0.27-0.0665115.217.8-2.5315.614.90.72
Ryan Bowen39390.010.49-0.480.15-516-2115.818.6-2.8115.914.31.63
Nene2324-0.070.57-0.64-0.10110-918.617.01.6012.515.9-3.47
Chris Whitney5656-0.140.64-0.78-0.17110-917.217.7-0.5714.515.8-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 96, DAL 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.6%
DET 94, LAC 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,193.5%
WAS 64, CHI 780.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,193.0%