NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	6.0 [582]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +28.1%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	1.0 [1098]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -12.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	15	59%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	13	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	14	53%	0.04	6	-0.17	6	83%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.15	-0.01	16	69%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	19	48%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.07
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	9	38%	-0.05	2	-0.03	8	62%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	28.4	15.5	19.6	2.4	29.4	119.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.6%

SAC +2.8%

MIN -6.7%

SAC +14.9%

SAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.5	90.5	103.2	101.6
season	14.9	14.0		104.0	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	15.3	14.7	15.2	14.8
SAC	13.6	16.0	16.6	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Igor Rakocevic	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	7.0	14.9	-7.88	0.0	15.7	-15.68
Reggie Slater	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	7.0	14.9	-7.88	12.0	15.6	-3.59
Marc Jackson	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-10	8	18.3	14.5	3.76	17.9	15.3	2.53
Gary Trent	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-8	4	13.5	15.6	-2.11	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Joe Smith	51	50	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-8	4	15.6	13.8	1.83	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Rasho Nesterovic	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-7	2	14.6	15.4	-0.83	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Troy Hudson	58	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-6	0	13.0	17.6	-4.67	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Anthony Peeler	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	15.1	14.5	0.61	15.9	15.3	0.59
Rod Strickland	44	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	16.5	13.3	3.17	16.3	14.8	1.52
Kevin Garnett	86	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-8	4	14.9	14.0	0.88	15.7	13.6	2.17
Kendall Gill	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	-2	-8	15.1	13.7	1.33	15.7	14.6	1.12

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	89	89	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-3	18	15.3	18.8	-3.54	14.7	16.8	-2.17
Keon Clark	46	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	3	6	16.1	15.0	1.11	15.6	14.0	1.60
Jim Jackson	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	5	2	16.1	15.0	1.14	15.5	14.2	1.22
Chris Webber	85	86	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Damon Jones	23	23	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	5	2	17.3	14.9	2.36	17.9	13.8	4.11
Vlade Divac	59	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	4	4	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Bobby Jackson	72	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	7	-2	14.9	17.3	-2.36	13.8	17.9	-4.11
Gerald Wallace	58	57	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	15.4	15.7	-0.31	14.5	15.2	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	93.2%
WAS 90, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.8%