NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	7.7 [283]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +14.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	2.0 [888]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -32.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.00	0.14	-0.01	22	53%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.09
Keon Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	79%	0.13	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	59%	0.05	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	18	43%	-0.10	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Vlade Divac	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.02	-0.02	8	28%	-0.06	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	10	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	11	39%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	5	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	24	41%	-0.06	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.31,-0.33	-0.33	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	13	43%	-0.20	4	-0.13	11	73%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.8	15.0	26.5	2.0	38.2	139.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +56.5%

CLE -2.9%

SAC +7.1%

CLE -11.7%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	17.3	15.5	97.8	94.4	101.6
season	14.0	15.1		104.4	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.7		104.3	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	11.0	16.6	15.8	14.2
CLE	17.5	15.9	19.4	16.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	52	50	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	14.2	14.2	-0.01	16.6	18.2	-1.55
Doug Christie	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	14.8	12.2	2.50	17.8	15.4	2.46
Chris Webber	75	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-1	8	14.4	13.5	0.89	17.9	14.5	3.41
Keon Clark	37	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-6	18	13.6	14.6	-1.08	17.1	17.4	-0.28
Damon Jones	31	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	-3	12	13.8	14.4	-0.56	17.2	17.4	-0.14
Vlade Divac	73	69	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.35	-7	13	-20	14.5	13.2	1.29	16.9	18.7	-1.83
Bobby Jackson	76	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	12	-18	14.3	13.8	0.48	16.8	19.2	-2.39
Hedo Turkoglu	48	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	13.3	15.2	-1.87	17.9	16.7	1.23

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	11	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	15.5	17.6	-2.01	13.7	14.3	-0.61
Carlos Boozer	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-4	2	17.5	17.2	0.24	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Jumaine Jones	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-6	6	18.7	16.3	2.47	15.0	13.7	1.33
Tyrone Hill	74	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-6	6	17.4	16.7	0.76	14.6	12.6	1.92
Milt Palacio	25	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	1	-8	16.0	17.8	-1.87	12.3	15.1	-2.82
Bimbo Coles	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-7	8	17.7	16.2	1.50	14.9	12.5	2.40
Dajuan Wagner	62	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	0	-6	16.9	18.3	-1.47	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Ricky Davis	79	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	17.1	19.0	-1.92	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	4	-14	17.4	17.1	0.29	14.2	14.3	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.7%
MIL 101, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.05,0	92.3%
UTA 95, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.0%