NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	5.5 [683]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +16.4%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.2 [1097]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -18.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	10	76%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	12	83%	0.19	3	-0.10	12	83%	0.03
Jason Collier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	20	51%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	9	35%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	8	15%	-0.16	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	19	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	21	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.04	7	78%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mark Strickland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	5	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	17	42%	-0.04	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.6	28.8	19.7	26.8	2.8	31.3	137.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.5%

DAL +2.6%

HOU -7.4%

DAL +15.6%

HOU -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.5	93.8	108.4	101.6
season	16.3	15.1		101.7	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.0	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	15.0	13.4	16.9	15.2
DAL	14.0	14.4	13.8	18.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	11.0	15.4	-4.38	19.4	14.7	4.69
Moochie Norris	38	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-16	19	15.3	15.1	0.20	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Maurice Taylor	44	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-13	13	15.9	14.6	1.31	15.4	14.6	0.76
Juaquin Hawkins	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-13	13	15.4	15.1	0.35	15.1	14.8	0.29
Yao Ming	65	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-16	19	14.6	16.5	-1.85	16.3	12.2	4.15
Kenny Thomas	29	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	0	-13	17.4	14.2	3.22	12.5	16.1	-3.54
Glen Rice	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	14.9	15.7	-0.80	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Steve Francis	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	0	-13	15.4	14.2	1.14	15.2	13.7	1.45
Eddie Griffin	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	2	-17	14.9	15.5	-0.60	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Cuttino Mobley	74	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.06	-21	8	-29	14.7	16.8	-2.10	14.7	15.9	-1.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	81	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-6	25	15.0	14.4	0.62	15.5	13.5	2.01
Dirk Nowitzki	89	91	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-2	17	14.7	18.2	-3.43	15.5	10.6	4.85
Steve Nash	66	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	-6	25	15.6	13.6	1.97	15.2	15.1	0.07
Walt Williams	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	2	9	15.1	14.8	0.31	14.9	15.6	-0.77
Eduardo Najera	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	2	9	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.2	15.2	-0.08
Adrian Griffin	44	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	14.8	15.1	-0.34	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Avery Johnson	26	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	17	-21	13.3	15.6	-2.22	15.6	15.1	0.49
Shawn Bradley	41	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	16	-19	14.0	15.6	-1.60	16.0	14.6	1.36
Mark Strickland	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.7	14.9	0.73	10.0	15.3	-5.31
Adam Harrington	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	15.7	14.9	0.73	10.0	15.3	-5.31
Raja Bell	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	19	-25	15.5	14.8	0.70	13.0	15.6	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
MIN 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 105, MIA 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%