NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	117		Excitement	8.0 [240]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +35.0%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.8 [688]		LVP	Tony Delk (BOS): -11.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.35	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.35	0.14	0.19	-0.02	22	71%	0.44	3	-0.09	21	95%	0.16
Shammond Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	9	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Vin Baker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	15	53%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	36%	-0.04	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.01	27	61%	0.08	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.05
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	14	57%	0.09	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	27.4	15.4	31.6	2.4	36.2	142.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -1.2%

BOS +38.4%

NYK -5.1%

BOS +15.4%

BOS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.5	123.2	111.5	101.6
season	15.6	15.6		99.3	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	14.9	13.2	15.7	14.6
NYK	15.1	17.1	14.5	15.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	81	81	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.09	22	-12	34	14.2	17.1	-2.96	15.6	15.1	0.55
Antoine Walker	86	87	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.11	20	-10	30	14.4	16.6	-2.14	15.6	14.7	0.95
Tony Delk	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	3	4	14.7	14.0	0.74	15.2	17.1	-1.93
Tony Battie	51	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	4	2	15.6	13.5	2.13	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Eric Williams	51	54	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.38	-10	20	-30	16.5	12.5	4.04	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Vin Baker	44	42	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	6	-2	13.5	15.6	-2.13	16.4	14.9	1.47
Walter McCarty	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	5	0	12.5	15.7	-3.17	16.6	15.0	1.59
Shammond Williams	51	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	14	-18	14.9	14.3	0.61	16.4	14.5	1.95

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	15	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-14	18	15.2	15.6	-0.39	16.2	14.3	1.87
Clar. Weatherspoon	79	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-9	8	15.4	16.1	-0.71	14.9	13.2	1.65
Travis Knight	17	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	0	-10	16.9	15.2	1.71	13.3	14.9	-1.57
Howard Eisley	32	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	1	-12	17.7	14.5	3.19	13.9	15.0	-1.05
Charlie Ward	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-9	8	14.3	18.0	-3.69	15.0	13.9	1.05
Othella Harrington	45	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	17.0	14.3	2.72	13.3	15.6	-2.31
Kurt Thomas	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-6	2	15.0	17.5	-2.49	15.0	13.3	1.65
Allan Houston	88	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-5	0	15.6	15.2	0.31	14.9	10.8	4.04
Shandon Anderson	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	3	-16	15.1	16.3	-1.22	14.3	15.3	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.01,0.02,0	91.7%
BOS 103, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.2,0.01,0	91.6%
SAC 101, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.32,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.29,0.14,0.09,0	91.1%