NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	7.5 [304]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +13.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	1.7 [526]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -29.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	9	72%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	12	53%	0.11	2	-0.08	10	60%	-0.04
Danny Ferry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	58%	0.11	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	15	30%	-0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	9	48%	-0.08	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.07	0.03	13	65%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	20	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	10	23%	-0.20	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	14	38%	-0.24	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	54.5	1.8	33.2	14.6	28.0	1.8	37.2	171.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.7%

SAS +4.5%

SAS +15.6%

SEA -16.6%

SAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.5	104.6	101.1	101.6
season	15.7	16.5		102.5	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.0	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	16.8	18.2	18.3	17.2
SEA	14.1	15.1	17.8	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	77	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-5	13	17.3	16.7	0.60	16.0	14.7	1.31
David Robinson	54	56	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-10	23	17.8	16.3	1.44	16.3	15.1	1.16
Tony Parker	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	17.6	15.3	2.37	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Stephen Jackson	61	61	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-7	17	17.5	16.5	0.99	16.2	15.2	0.97
Steven Smith	52	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	3	-3	17.2	17.3	-0.19	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Bruce Bowen	58	58	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	7	-11	17.0	17.7	-0.69	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Danny Ferry	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	17.0	17.2	-0.24	16.0	15.9	0.13
Anthony Goldwire	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	6	-9	15.1	17.6	-2.49	17.7	15.5	2.25
Kevin Willis	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	7	-11	16.5	17.5	-1.01	16.2	15.7	0.46
Malik Rose	19	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.17	-11	14	-25	16.3	17.5	-1.17	13.4	16.5	-3.06

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	19	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-8	13	14.2	16.3	-2.13	15.5	17.6	-2.11
Vitaly Potapenko	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-7	11	16.2	15.7	0.55	17.6	17.1	0.51
Calvin Booth	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	15.2	16.0	-0.84	16.2	17.5	-1.28
Reggie Evans	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	16.1	15.7	0.35	17.5	17.1	0.38
Brent Barry	49	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-3	3	15.5	16.4	-0.88	16.6	18.1	-1.43
Desmond Mason	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	15.7	16.2	-0.45	17.1	17.4	-0.29
Predrag Drobnjak	36	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	7	-17	16.5	15.4	1.07	17.6	16.9	0.68
Gary Payton	73	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	15.9	15.5	0.45	17.4	16.6	0.76
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.9	-0.11	17.3	17.1	0.27
Rashard Lewis	66	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.36	-8	5	-13	16.3	14.6	1.65	17.7	15.4	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.2%
DAL 102, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.32,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	92.1%
UTA 90, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,0	92.0%