NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	2.5 [1206]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +11.6%
Detroit Pistons	123		Comeback	1.8 [406]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -5.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Redd	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	15	51%	-0.01	4	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	4	137%	0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	13	75%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	14	59%	0.06	3	-0.03	11	73%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	77%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Victor Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	5	90%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	45%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	26.4	16.5	30.3	1.8	27.1	127.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.7%

DET +6.6%

DET +11.1%

MIL -0.8%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.6	91.8	128.1	102.3
season	15.3	15.7		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.8	16.0		99.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	16.9	16.2	12.5	15.3
DET	14.2	14.4	14.4	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-28	22	13.3	15.7	-2.44	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Mark Pope	28	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-34	34	12.0	16.6	-4.54	15.4	14.3	1.11
Michael Redd	49	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.30	-14	-20	6	13.9	16.7	-2.77	14.9	14.2	0.69
Darvin Ham	31	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.43	-19	-15	-4	15.7	15.1	0.65	13.7	15.0	-1.23
Ray Allen	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-23	12	16.7	14.1	2.67	15.2	14.0	1.26
Joel Przybilla	37	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-29	24	13.6	16.3	-2.62	17.4	13.0	4.44
Sam Cassell	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.23	-15	-19	4	17.0	14.2	2.75	15.4	14.1	1.35
Tim Thomas	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.30	-19	-15	-4	15.0	15.4	-0.35	13.4	15.0	-1.54
Ervin Johnson	43	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-17	0	16.8	14.1	2.74	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Greg Anthony	53	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-15	-4	14.5	16.2	-1.71	13.2	16.2	-3.02
Anthony Mason	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.42	-26	-8	-18	16.2	13.7	2.57	14.2	15.2	-1.08
Glenn Robinson	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	-15	-4	15.8	14.2	1.64	14.6	14.4	0.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.54	36	-2	38	14.0	15.9	-1.90	16.6	12.2	4.39
Ben Wallace	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.52	35	-1	36	14.2	15.3	-1.06	16.5	12.8	3.71
Corliss Williamson	39	40	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.18	20	14	6	15.2	14.1	1.06	14.2	16.0	-1.73
Jerry Stackhouse	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.43	25	9	16	13.7	15.8	-2.06	16.2	14.0	2.20
Clifford Robinson	57	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.43	24	10	14	13.9	15.5	-1.58	16.0	14.1	1.91
Jon Barry	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	26	-18	15.7	13.9	1.84	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Zeljko Rebraca	45	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	26	-18	15.9	13.4	2.48	14.2	16.3	-2.08
Michael Curry	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.17	7	27	-20	15.6	14.0	1.57	16.8	14.5	2.30
Victor Alexander	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	33	-32	14.5	14.6	-0.04	12.2	16.3	-4.07
Rodney White	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	29	-24	13.0	14.9	-1.86	13.5	15.6	-2.13
Dana Barros	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	31	-28	12.6	14.9	-2.34	13.4	15.6	-2.23
Damon Jones	29	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	36	-38	15.9	14.0	1.90	12.2	16.6	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, OKC 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ORL 80, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
WAS 83, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%