NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	2.7 [1196]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +10.4%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.6 [880]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	6	71%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	42%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	45%	-0.02	4	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	10	32%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	13	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	14	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	19	56%	0.11	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	10	67%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	28.7	17.5	23.3	2.8	28.2	130.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +52.0%

WAS -1.5%

PHX +4.1%

WAS -4.6%

PHX +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.5	92.2	119.8	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		100.9	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		100.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.9	21.3	12.9	16.8	16.8
PHX	12.6	14.7	17.8	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-31	36	14.1	17.1	-3.01	13.3	15.3	-2.03
Bobby Simmons	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-30	34	15.9	16.9	-1.01	14.2	15.2	-1.05
Juan Dixon	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	16.0	16.9	-0.90	12.8	15.4	-2.56
Bryon Russell	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.34	-18	-8	-10	18.2	16.1	2.13	17.5	13.9	3.60
Kwame Brown	39	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-22	18	16.1	17.3	-1.15	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Brendan Haywood	47	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.35	-21	-5	-16	18.0	15.5	2.47	16.0	14.0	2.00
Tyronn Lue	45	45	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.29	-20	-6	-14	17.9	15.6	2.31	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Larry Hughes	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-14	2	17.6	14.7	2.99	15.6	13.6	2.07
Christian Laettner	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	-9	-8	15.2	19.3	-4.09	15.1	15.0	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.19	-19	-7	-12	16.8	16.8	-0.04	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Michael Jordan	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.38	-29	3	-32	16.1	18.8	-2.64	14.8	15.8	-0.95

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	49	50	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.41	32	-6	38	15.7	14.4	1.30	17.8	15.5	2.21
Joe Johnson	56	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.25	24	2	22	14.0	16.7	-2.65	17.4	15.7	1.71
Stephon Marbury	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.31	26	0	26	15.1	15.0	0.07	17.0	16.0	1.01
Shawn Marion	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	7	12	15.3	14.4	0.96	16.5	17.5	-0.93
Jake Voskuhl	35	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	12	2	13.4	16.1	-2.74	17.5	16.3	1.20
Dan Langhi	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	23	-20	14.1	15.3	-1.13	18.7	16.4	2.40
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	51	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.27	12	14	-2	15.2	14.9	0.28	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Anfernee Hardaway	50	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.23	10	16	-6	16.4	13.4	2.99	15.6	18.0	-2.43
Tom Gugliotta	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	14.2	15.2	-1.05	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Casey Jacobsen	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	14.2	15.2	-1.05	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Scott Williams	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	28	-30	16.3	14.4	1.86	14.6	17.7	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHX 90, SAC 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NOH 96, SAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%