NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	5.9 [641]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +12.2%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	1.0 [1215]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -32.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.00	-0.04	14	73%	0.16	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	71%	0.10	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	28	49%	-0.01	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	90%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	18	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	8	68%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	17	48%	-0.09	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.08	-0.03	16	49%	-0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32	-0.32	-0.17	-0.20	-0.04	15	20%	-0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	32.8	18.6	25.7	3.2	32.1	137.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +56.1%

SAC +7.1%

GSW -27.0%

SAC +9.4%

SAC +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	12.9	14.5	15.6	111.3	111.5	102.3
season	14.2	14.7		106.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.4	11.3	13.7	15.9	12.9
GSW	13.9	13.6	17.0	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	88	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-3	8	12.4	15.2	-2.79	14.1	16.3	-2.17
Mike Bibby	76	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-8	18	12.6	13.7	-1.15	15.1	13.3	1.82
Chris Webber	96	93	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	0	2	13.0	12.1	0.89	14.7	12.8	1.92
Vlade Divac	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-8	18	12.7	13.3	-0.64	15.3	13.2	2.10
Doug Christie	93	91	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	-1	4	12.9	13.1	-0.20	15.0	11.4	3.60
Hedo Turkoglu	33	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.30	-8	10	-18	13.8	12.5	1.37	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Lawrence Funderburke	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	0	2	12.0	13.0	-0.99	12.4	14.8	-2.37
Bobby Jackson	30	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.26	-8	10	-18	13.7	12.6	1.15	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Scot Pollard	36	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	8	-14	13.7	12.5	1.19	13.5	15.0	-1.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	33	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-5	8	11.8	15.8	-3.94	12.1	13.3	-1.25
Larry Hughes	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.55	18	-20	38	12.8	16.3	-3.52	13.7	12.1	1.62
Erick Dampier	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-12	22	14.2	14.9	-0.77	12.9	12.9	0.04
Troy Murphy	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-1	0	13.1	14.7	-1.53	11.4	13.0	-1.58
Chris Mills	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	0	-2	15.5	14.1	1.39	13.1	12.8	0.31
Adonal Foyle	30	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.22	-16	14	-30	17.3	13.4	3.88	13.2	12.8	0.46
Antawn Jamison	90	92	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-7	12	14.3	15.8	-1.44	13.3	10.4	2.85
Jason Richardson	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	15.0	12.5	2.52	13.0	12.5	0.45
Gilbert Arenas	71	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	8	-18	15.0	13.5	1.59	12.7	13.3	-0.54
Danny Fortson	65	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	13	-28	15.1	13.6	1.52	12.1	14.3	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
WAS 122, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NJN 94, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%