NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	6.1 [597]		MVP	Courtney Alexander (WAS): +13.6%
Washington Wizards	90		Comeback	1.8 [545]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -25.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	19	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	22	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Vonteego Cummings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	11	23%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Alexander	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.03	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	14	57%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.19	-0.03	22	40%	-0.24	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	33.3	15.7	27.5	1.7	35.3	140.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +11.7%

WAS +3.3%

WAS +37.9%

PHI -7.0%

WAS +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	17.0	15.6	89.5	107.1	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.8	18.5	15.9	15.5	16.9
WAS	17.3	14.9	17.6	18.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	43	43	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.06	13	-26	39	16.1	17.7	-1.63	17.8	16.0	1.81
Alvin Jones	16	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-5	-3	17.2	16.9	0.39	16.7	17.0	-0.29
Raja Bell	48	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	4	-21	18.1	15.4	2.66	16.2	17.8	-1.52
Vonteego Cummings	30	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	16.4	17.2	-0.76	15.9	17.5	-1.54
Dikembe Mutombo	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-7	1	17.0	16.7	0.28	17.2	16.4	0.84
Eric Snow	74	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-6	-1	16.9	17.1	-0.18	17.1	16.4	0.67
Corie Blount	28	29	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-9	5	17.8	16.5	1.32	18.2	16.3	1.92
Matt Harpring	71	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	3	-19	16.9	17.3	-0.41	16.5	18.9	-2.41
Aaron McKie	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	-1	-11	16.4	18.3	-1.96	16.9	17.1	-0.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	30	30	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-11	35	16.1	17.4	-1.27	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Etan Thomas	44	44	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.05	19	-6	25	17.0	16.8	0.20	16.7	17.2	-0.56
Richard Hamilton	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	5	3	16.7	17.6	-0.85	16.0	19.7	-3.76
Courtney Alexander	63	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	4	5	17.9	14.0	3.87	16.4	18.6	-2.24
Tyrone Nesby	37	38	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	7	-1	16.3	17.4	-1.12	17.7	16.4	1.30
Bobby Simmons	32	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	3	7	16.2	17.4	-1.29	16.7	17.1	-0.36
Chris Whitney	40	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	13	-13	17.1	16.8	0.38	16.8	17.1	-0.28
Tyronn Lue	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.02	3	10	-7	17.0	16.9	0.03	18.1	16.2	1.83
Jahidi White	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	13	-13	17.8	16.5	1.35	16.9	16.9	0.01
Christian Laettner	31	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	13	-13	17.2	16.8	0.43	17.4	16.7	0.71
Kwame Brown	6	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	19	-25	16.2	17.0	-0.85	20.2	16.7	3.48
Brendan Haywood	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	21	-29	14.7	17.2	-2.43	20.5	16.6	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.52,0.55,0.76,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 108, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	91.6%
CHI 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.97,1,1	91.4%
PHX 93, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,1	90.7%