NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	7.9 [249]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +31.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	83		Comeback	2.4 [118]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -30.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.31	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.33,0.31	0.08	0.24	0.01	18	62%	0.33	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.23	-0.08	-0.01	11	12%	-0.19	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	13	70%	0.18	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	17	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	8	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	0.00	14	41%	-0.13	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	10	36%	-0.07	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	48.5	1.8	27.4	15.0	23.0	1.8	37.2	154.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.8%

NYK +9.4%

SEA -13.0%

NYK +14.1%

NYK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SEA	NBA	NYK	SEA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.6	93.5	91.2	102.3
season	15.9	16.0		99.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	13.6	15.0	17.6	15.6
SEA	13.6	17.7	17.0	15.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	87	86	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-2	7	15.9	11.8	4.06	16.0	13.8	2.15
Allan Houston	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.54	1	2	-1	15.4	16.9	-1.57	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Howard Eisley	47	48	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-6	15	15.7	15.6	0.04	16.2	15.4	0.88
Latrell Sprewell	83	84	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	6	-9	16.0	12.4	3.54	15.5	20.4	-4.98
Clar. Weatherspoon	60	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.53	-7	10	-17	15.3	16.3	-0.98	14.7	17.9	-3.25
Othella Harrington	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.12	10	-7	17	16.3	15.3	0.98	17.9	14.7	3.25
Shandon Anderson	26	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.17	8	-5	13	14.8	16.0	-1.16	18.0	15.0	3.00
Travis Knight	1	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	3	-3	22.0	15.6	6.43	5.0	16.1	-11.08
Felton Spencer	4	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	9.2	15.9	-6.68	19.7	15.7	3.96
Mark Jackson	44	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	9	-15	15.9	15.4	0.56	15.4	16.2	-0.88

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	14	13	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-6	9	16.4	15.7	0.62	19.1	15.1	4.00
Ansu Sesay	16	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	2	-7	20.1	14.9	5.20	17.9	15.2	2.61
Earl Watson	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	18.4	15.5	2.88	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Olumide Oyedeji	4	3	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	1	-5	24.0	15.5	8.54	17.7	15.6	2.09
Jerome James	66	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-3	3	16.1	15.1	0.99	15.3	16.6	-1.27
Vin Baker	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	2	-7	16.0	15.8	0.25	16.0	15.5	0.53
Predrag Drobnjak	82	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.2	22.0	-6.84	15.7	15.0	0.71
Desmond Mason	75	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-5	7	14.9	20.1	-5.20	15.2	17.9	-2.61
Brent Barry	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-4	5	15.4	17.9	-2.51	15.4	16.9	-1.46
Gary Payton	81	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	15.8	16.2	-0.41	15.6	16.2	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0	91.6%
NYK 95, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0	91.3%
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	91.1%