NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	8.0 [271]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): +21.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	2.6 [254]		LVP	Quinton Ross (LAC): -28.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.15	0.01	9	78%	0.27	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	11	73%	0.21	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.03,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.01	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	32	50%	0.12	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.05
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tierre Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	0.00	3	50%	-0.06	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	13	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	15	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	25	43%	-0.17	3	-0.07	13	77%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	6	0%	-0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	30.0	16.0	27.2	2.5	30.6	137.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +80.3%

LAL +5.7%

LAC -2.0%

LAC -25.1%

LAC -9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	17.3	15.5	100.0	102.4	104.0
season	15.7	16.0		105.8	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	16.1	15.9	18.3	15.8
LAC	14.5	19.9	16.8	18.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	84	80	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.49	7	-5	12	15.6	19.6	-3.99	17.5	14.4	3.09
Lamar Odom	66	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-7	16	16.7	13.5	3.17	17.9	15.4	2.50
Jumaine Jones	43	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-6	14	16.6	15.1	1.50	19.1	15.6	3.51
Brian Cook	63	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	2	-2	16.0	15.5	0.52	17.7	16.4	1.30
Tierre Brown	25	23	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	-8	18	16.0	15.8	0.18	18.4	16.9	1.55
Chucky Atkins	71	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.46	-11	13	-24	15.8	16.0	-0.21	16.8	19.4	-2.63
Caron Butler	48	45	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.30	-9	11	-20	15.2	16.5	-1.26	15.7	19.1	-3.34
Luke Walton	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	0	2	6.5	16.0	-9.55	22.0	17.2	4.75
Vlade Divac	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	2	-2	10.7	16.2	-5.54	15.4	17.4	-2.03
Chris Mihm	37	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	8	-14	15.8	15.8	-0.04	15.5	18.6	-3.05

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	40	41	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-8	14	15.8	18.6	-2.80	16.0	15.7	0.36
Marko Jaric	70	76	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-9	16	16.4	21.7	-5.30	15.5	17.9	-2.45
Chris Kaman	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.8	17.4	-0.63	12.3	16.5	-4.21
Rick Brunson	19	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	8	-18	19.3	16.7	2.52	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Bobby Simmons	37	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-9	16	17.2	17.4	-0.16	16.9	14.9	2.03
Quinton Ross	34	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	2	-6	19.2	16.1	3.12	17.9	14.5	3.34
Kerry Kittles	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	0	-2	17.3	17.3	-0.06	16.2	15.2	0.96
Mikki Moore	83	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	17.3	16.0	1.34	15.7	22.5	-6.82
Corey Maggette	73	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	6	-14	17.8	14.6	3.17	15.2	19.4	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.68,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	92.5%
LAL 84, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.28,0	92.0%
NYK 86, SEA 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.27,0	91.6%