NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	2.9 [1156]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +5.0%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.0 [1176]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (ORL): -7.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	42%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Don Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	18	48%	-0.02	4	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	82%	0.11	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	85%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	9	68%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	18	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	12	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.0	14.7	23.6	2.3	26.7	119.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.9%

NJN +2.0%

NJN +6.6%

NJN +14.1%

NJN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.6	87.6	113.4	102.3
season	14.6	14.7		104.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.8		98.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.7	15.2	17.6	12.8	14.5
NJN	15.6	12.5	15.8	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-25	25	12.6	14.9	-2.34	17.3	14.7	2.60
Andrew DeClercq	45	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.13	-5	-20	15	13.1	15.7	-2.66	16.3	14.2	2.04
Monty Williams	46	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-22	19	13.0	15.9	-2.92	16.7	13.8	2.88
Patrick Ewing	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-24	23	10.9	14.8	-3.94	8.8	15.6	-6.76
Don Reid	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-20	15	16.1	14.2	1.87	15.6	15.1	0.47
Jaren Jackson	54	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-15	5	13.9	15.3	-1.37	15.2	15.1	0.18
Horace Grant	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-8	-9	16.7	13.2	3.51	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Pat Garrity	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	-5	-15	14.7	14.3	0.37	14.4	16.3	-1.81
Darrell Armstrong	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	-6	-13	15.1	13.5	1.58	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Tracy McGrady	62	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.18	-21	-4	-17	14.6	14.3	0.36	14.4	16.4	-2.03
Troy Hudson	81	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-1	-23	15.4	10.2	5.18	15.5	13.6	1.93

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.19	24	1	23	14.3	16.7	-2.41	15.8	12.2	3.56
Kenyon Martin	50	50	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	3	19	13.8	16.7	-2.88	16.1	12.8	3.31
Kerry Kittles	56	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	7	11	14.6	16.0	-1.39	15.8	12.8	3.01
Jason Kidd	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	5	15	14.1	17.1	-3.08	15.1	13.4	1.65
Todd MacCulloch	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	7	11	14.2	15.9	-1.70	16.1	13.3	2.79
Jason Collins	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.17	8	17	-9	16.1	14.6	1.49	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Anthony Johnson	35	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	20	-15	17.1	14.1	3.08	13.4	15.1	-1.65
Aaron Williams	29	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.14	6	19	-13	16.1	14.8	1.37	13.6	15.0	-1.37
Richard Jefferson	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.09	4	21	-17	16.6	13.8	2.79	12.8	16.1	-3.31
Lucious Harris	34	37	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.17	6	19	-13	16.1	14.7	1.45	13.1	15.4	-2.32
Brandon Armstrong	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	16.3	15.0	1.37	10.5	15.1	-4.68
Brian Scalabrine	15	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	16.3	15.0	1.37	10.5	15.1	-4.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHH 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
OKC 98, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 74, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%