NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	7.1 [398]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +23.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	2.0 [587]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -19.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.16	-0.01	10	75%	0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	10	85%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.02	19	63%	0.15	1	-0.02	16	94%	0.10
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	19%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	11	67%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.02	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	14	47%	-0.05	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.08,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	17	39%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	27.3	14.6	29.0	1.8	37.2	138.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.0%

DET +15.6%

PHI -12.8%

DET +16.0%

PHI -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	17.8	15.6	108.2	103.5	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.4	15.2	16.3	20.2	16.1
PHI	19.3	16.8	18.0	16.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	63	64	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.31	17	-13	30	16.0	16.4	-0.38	17.5	18.4	-0.90
Jerry Stackhouse	68	70	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-9	22	16.1	16.4	-0.35	17.9	17.2	0.67
Jon Barry	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-1	6	16.5	15.6	0.85	17.5	18.1	-0.53
Ben Wallace	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-1	6	15.8	17.1	-1.27	17.3	19.1	-1.83
Corliss Williamson	39	37	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	9	-14	16.2	16.1	0.09	16.7	18.6	-1.86
Clifford Robinson	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	8	-12	16.6	15.6	0.95	18.8	16.6	2.13
Michael Curry	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	15.9	16.3	-0.36	18.4	17.3	1.05
Zeljko Rebraca	41	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	5	-6	15.9	16.3	-0.39	17.8	17.7	0.16
Damon Jones	22	21	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.08	-13	17	-30	16.4	16.0	0.38	18.4	17.5	0.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	41	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	17.5	18.0	-0.42	17.2	15.3	1.96
Alvin Jones	4	6	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-7	10	16.0	17.8	-1.84	18.2	16.0	2.19
Samuel Dalembert	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	24.0	17.7	6.32	14.0	16.2	-2.15
Corie Blount	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-4	4	21.5	17.5	4.03	13.5	16.3	-2.83
Vonteego Cummings	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-3	2	17.7	17.8	-0.11	15.4	16.3	-0.98
Derrick McKey	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-5	6	17.1	18.2	-1.06	17.2	15.4	1.77
Matt Harpring	62	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-3	2	18.5	15.7	2.88	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Eric Snow	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	17.6	18.7	-1.11	15.8	17.7	-1.92
Derrick Coleman	65	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	17.8	17.7	0.07	16.6	14.4	2.21
Dikembe Mutombo	74	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	2	-8	17.5	19.7	-2.27	16.4	14.6	1.87
Aaron McKie	50	53	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	10	-24	17.7	17.9	-0.18	14.8	18.2	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.34,0.17,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.08,0	92.0%
TOR 99, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	91.4%
BOS 112, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.55,0.57,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.46,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.55,0.16,0	91.1%