NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	82		Excitement	7.3 [358]		MVP	Eddie House (MIA): +18.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	77		Comeback	1.6 [380]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -30.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.24,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	14	67%	0.25	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.10	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	48%	-0.05	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.05
Eddie Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	11	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	21%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.27	-0.27	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	14	17%	-0.21	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.18,-0.31	-0.31	-0.04	-0.25	0.01	30	54%	-0.13	5	-0.18	11	91%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	479.6	2.5	31.3	15.7	27.1	1.8	28.2	586.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +67.8%

PHI -10.0%

MIA +4.2%

PHI -8.8%

PHI -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	17.4	16.5	15.6	95.3	91.7	102.3
season	16.5	15.9		96.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	20.0	15.7	16.6	17.6	17.4
PHI	16.0	15.6	16.1	18.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	51	50	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-10	25	16.8	18.2	-1.33	16.9	15.8	1.12
Alonzo Mourning	72	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	17.2	18.1	-0.82	16.7	15.1	1.67
Eddie Jones	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	17.5	16.5	1.00	16.0	18.9	-2.88
Rod Strickland	66	64	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	17.3	17.5	-0.15	16.7	15.8	0.84
Brian Grant	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	9	-13	17.5	17.3	0.21	16.1	17.1	-1.04
Chris Gatling	44	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-1	7	17.5	17.3	0.15	16.9	16.1	0.83
Jim Jackson	43	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	17.9	16.8	1.09	16.5	16.5	-0.07
Vladimir Stepania	4	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	21.2	17.2	4.05	17.0	16.5	0.53
Kendall Gill	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	16.7	17.7	-0.99	15.8	16.8	-1.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Jones	22	23	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.19	17	-22	39	14.8	17.1	-2.26	19.6	16.6	3.04
Raja Bell	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	14.7	16.6	-1.96	20.8	17.1	3.71
Matt Harpring	55	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-2	-1	17.1	15.4	1.64	17.6	16.9	0.73
Derrick McKey	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	6	-17	17.2	15.9	1.31	17.0	17.8	-0.83
Eric Snow	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-9	13	16.6	15.8	0.76	17.4	17.1	0.37
Dikembe Mutombo	42	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	3	-11	17.2	15.8	1.36	18.0	16.7	1.28
Allen Iverson	84	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.5	0.0	16.49	17.4	0.0	17.38
Speedy Claxton	35	37	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	5	-15	15.4	17.3	-1.87	15.8	18.6	-2.71
Corie Blount	64	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	6	-17	16.3	16.9	-0.61	16.7	19.3	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.24,0.05,0	92.1%
NOH 100, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.26,0	92.1%
TOR 94, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	91.4%