NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	9.7 [70]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +54.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.2 [428]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -17.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.54	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.20	0.34	-0.00	16	71%	0.54	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
David West	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.31	-0.05	0.37	0.01	19	45%	0.41	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	7	72%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	17	39%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Julian Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.31	0.31	0.02	0.28	-0.01	14	55%	0.42	2	-0.11	10	80%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.18	0.02	19	71%	0.39	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	7	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.5	17.8	24.2	2.5	36.1	136.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +18.7%

NOH +19.0%

CLE -12.7%

NOH +23.2%

NOH +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CLE	NBA	NOH	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.4	114.9	115.1	105.7
season	15.9	16.4		109.6	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.7		104.1	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.5	14.9	19.1	16.0	15.8
CLE	19.2	16.4	17.8	16.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.43	5	-4	9	15.6	17.1	-1.47	17.5	17.2	0.34
Tyson Chandler	69	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	16.1	14.7	1.36	17.0	19.7	-2.76
Jannero Pargo	45	45	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	-2	5	15.5	16.2	-0.70	16.5	18.6	-2.03
Peja Stojakovic	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	-2	5	15.4	20.1	-4.72	17.5	17.9	-0.39
David West	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	4	-7	16.3	13.5	2.74	17.6	17.0	0.59
Julian Wright	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	-1	3	15.0	16.0	-0.97	16.6	17.7	-1.02
Chris Andersen	13	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	15.8	15.8	0.05	19.2	17.3	1.93
Morris Peterson	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	2	-3	17.0	15.1	1.93	18.3	17.0	1.26
Bonzi Wells	32	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	7	-13	15.1	16.2	-1.08	18.9	16.8	2.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	28	33	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.40	-1	0	-1	18.5	17.0	1.43	13.5	17.2	-3.74
Damon Jones	37	40	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-5	9	17.5	17.5	-0.07	15.8	15.8	0.08
Joe Smith	35	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-9	17	17.7	17.4	0.31	16.5	15.3	1.14
Sasha Pavlovic	42	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-1	1	17.8	17.2	0.65	16.6	15.1	1.43
Anderson Varejao	64	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	3	-7	17.0	18.9	-1.89	16.1	15.1	1.02
LeBron James	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	2	-5	17.4	18.2	-0.87	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.51	1	-2	3	17.5	17.5	0.05	16.5	14.4	2.13
Delonte West	49	47	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.59	-5	4	-9	17.5	17.5	0.07	15.8	15.8	-0.08
Devin Brown	43	44	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.87	-5	4	-9	17.3	17.7	-0.40	15.1	16.5	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.24,0.05,0	92.6%
MIA 82, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.15,0.09,0	92.1%
ATL 78, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.1,0	92.0%