NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	7.7 [285]		MVP	Eddie Griffin (HOU): +12.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	97.0 [9]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -32.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,0.12	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	13	43%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terence Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.17	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	-0.06	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	0%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.07	-0.12	0.03	19	46%	-0.16	2	-0.06	8	87%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	3	83%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	14	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.15	-0.15	0.03	-0.18	0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.33	-0.33	-0.19	-0.16	-0.02	18	40%	-0.13	6	-0.20	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	25.5	15.6	31.2	2.4	38.3	140.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.6%

MIN -3.8%

MIN -0.2%

HOU +39.5%

HOU +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	13.1	15.6	98.0	100.0	102.3
season	16.8	15.0		100.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		103.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	19.4	16.0	17.8	16.7
MIN	12.9	15.7	11.0	13.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	44	43	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.54	12	-11	23	18.6	15.1	3.44	14.5	12.0	2.51
Eddie Griffin	63	62	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-10	21	17.1	16.0	1.09	13.4	12.6	0.83
Steve Francis	82	79	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-6	13	15.9	20.5	-4.57	12.6	15.7	-3.09
Cuttino Mobley	83	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.53	-5	6	-11	16.1	19.7	-3.61	12.8	14.7	-1.92
Kenny Thomas	78	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.58	-10	11	-21	16.1	18.9	-2.86	12.4	15.7	-3.27
Terence Morris	41	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.12	1	0	1	17.9	15.8	2.03	14.1	12.4	1.66
Walt Williams	58	57	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.13	-3	4	-7	17.5	15.5	1.98	13.6	12.3	1.29
Kelvin Cato	41	40	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.4	17.6	-2.12	12.5	13.6	-1.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	31	30	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.17	10	-11	21	12.4	13.5	-1.03	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Rasho Nesterovic	26	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-5	9	12.5	13.3	-0.79	15.4	17.2	-1.79
Gary Trent	38	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-5	9	13.5	12.9	0.60	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Marc Jackson	5	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	0	-1	12.6	13.1	-0.54	12.2	16.9	-4.61
William Avery	20	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	14.4	12.8	1.63	16.0	16.8	-0.84
Loren Woods	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	10	-21	16.5	12.6	3.97	18.2	16.4	1.80
Anthony Peeler	28	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-3	5	14.6	12.5	2.06	19.7	15.3	4.36
Kevin Garnett	78	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.59	10	-11	21	12.9	14.3	-1.44	16.8	15.9	0.95
Felipe Lopez	15	14	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	9	-19	12.2	13.3	-1.09	13.7	17.2	-3.45
Chauncey Billups	75	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-3	5	12.8	14.4	-1.63	16.8	16.0	0.84
Joe Smith	59	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	0	-1	13.1	13.1	-0.04	17.4	15.6	1.80
Wally Szczerbiak	87	89	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.53	-11	10	-21	12.8	16.2	-3.42	16.2	21.2	-5.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0	91.7%
MIA 95, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.83,0	91.4%
CHH 86, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.74,0	91.0%