NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Excitement	7.4 [343]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): +34.2%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	5.4 [292]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -48.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	8	68%	0.12	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	23	58%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Brian Skinner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Trepagnier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
Ricky Davis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	10	46%	-0.07	2	-0.16	6	100%	0.06
Wesley Person	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.04	-0.19	0.01	14	39%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.34	0.34	0.11	0.21	-0.02	11	96%	0.56	5	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	0.00	9	80%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	19	35%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.26,-0.31,-0.35,-0.43,-0.43,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.48	-0.48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.02	14	10%	-0.36	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	28.5	16.7	26.0	1.8	31.2	127.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.3%

CLE -18.2%

ATL +5.9%

ATL +16.4%

ATL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.6	89.0	90.3	102.3
season	15.8	15.5		102.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	15.8	14.7	13.9	14.3
ATL	17.8	15.5	17.3	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Trepagnier	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	0.0	14.4	-14.43	4.0	17.1	-13.14
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-11	19	15.6	12.2	3.40	17.3	16.5	0.76
Jumaine Jones	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	4	-11	15.4	14.1	1.26	17.3	17.0	0.34
Trajan Langdon	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	6	-15	16.7	14.0	2.65	17.9	16.9	0.98
Brian Skinner	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	12.4	15.1	-2.71	15.9	17.4	-1.55
Lamond Murray	73	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-8	13	15.0	11.2	3.87	17.3	15.9	1.38
Michael Doleac	31	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	1	-5	11.5	15.7	-4.23	16.9	17.0	-0.09
Wesley Person	74	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.46	6	-9	15	14.1	15.0	-0.89	16.9	17.4	-0.50
Ricky Davis	25	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	7	-17	12.1	15.1	-3.03	16.4	17.2	-0.88
Andre Miller	81	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.56	6	-9	15	14.2	15.0	-0.81	17.1	16.5	0.56
Tyrone Hill	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	2	-7	15.2	11.4	3.84	17.2	16.4	0.83

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	77	74	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.50	9	-6	15	16.8	18.1	-1.28	15.2	10.1	5.18
Hanno Mottola	36	37	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-10	23	17.9	16.4	1.45	15.5	13.4	2.13
Toni Kukoc	62	63	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-11	25	17.2	16.5	0.73	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Jason Terry	64	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.60	-2	5	-7	16.2	18.8	-2.56	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	79	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	7	-11	16.6	19.7	-3.16	13.9	16.9	-3.04
Alan Henderson	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	-1	5	18.4	16.2	2.13	13.5	14.7	-1.24
Jacque Vaughn	31	30	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	-2	7	17.7	16.7	1.02	14.6	14.1	0.49
Nazr Mohammed	34	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	10	-17	16.2	17.5	-1.30	14.6	14.1	0.54
DerMarr Johnson	46	44	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.06	-17	20	-37	17.3	16.7	0.65	13.2	15.3	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 74, PHX 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.99,1	91.4%
SAS 76, OKC 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	91.3%
MIN 98, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.53,0.59,0.83,0.69,0.63,0.89,0.9,1	90.8%